RDP 2015-10: The Life of Australian Banknotes Appendix C: Other Survival Model Specifications

Table C1: Two-parameter Weibull Model Coefficients
From issuance to September 2014
Variable $5 $10 $20 $50
λ 52.46*** 51.31*** 64.52*** 219.60***
k 0.49††† 0.67††† 0.70†† 0.74†††
Adjusted R2 0.988 0.995 0.982 0.999
Median life (years) 2.06 2.47 3.18 11.12
Notes: ***, ** and * indicate significance from zero at the 10, 5 and 1 per cent level, respectively; †††, †† and † indicate significance from one at the 10, 5 and 1 per cent level, respectively; the model is estimated with Newy-West standard errors
Table C2: Two-parameter Weibull Model Coefficients with Explanatory Variables
From issuance to September 2014
Variable $5 $10 $20 $50
λ 49.64*** 52.49*** 117.23*** 237.59***
k 0.39††† 0.57††† 0.46††† 0.75†††
NNS transition −1.66*** −0.45*** −0.57*** −0.03
Recoloured $5 −0.10*      
Federation $5 −0.21***      
Y2K     −0.06 −0.10*
GFC     0.02 0.09***
Distribution policy     −0.20*** −0.21***
Quality program −0.02 0.07*** 0.13***  
Quality program 2   0.08*** 1.04***  
GDP growth 0.66*** 0.68*** 0.78** 1.29***
Adjusted R2 0.995 0.998 0.997 0.999
Median life (years) 1.50 2.18 4.10 11.37
Notes: ***, ** and * indicate significance from zero at the 10, 5 and 1 per cent level, respectively; †††, †† and † indicate significance from one at the 10, 5 and 1 per cent level, respectively; the model is estimated with Newy-West standard errors