Bulletin

Insights into the economy and financial system from teams throughout the Reserve Bank of Australia

June 2026

Financial Stability

Geopolitical Risk and Financial Stability

Jeremy Lwin and Gideon Holland

Geopolitical risk is becoming an increasingly important consideration for financial stability. This article sets out a structured framework to explain how geopolitical shocks could affect financial stability through a range of channels, from market disruptions to operational and security risks. The impact of geopolitical shocks is likely to differ from more traditional macro-financial stress in several ways, including by generating new operational challenges for the financial system – reinforcing the importance of robust contingency planning.

financial stability, international, risk and uncertainty

Some graphs in this publication were generated using Mathematica.

ISSN 1837-7211