Researcher Profiles Martin McCarthy

Economic Research Department

Current research interests: forecasting, economic measurement, output gaps

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Martin’s research is focused on forecasting, particularly forecast evaluation and models with data of mixed frequencies. He is also interested in the estimation of output gaps, the measurement of macroeconomic statistics and taxation. He has previously worked as a consultant for the International Monetary Fund and has completed a secondment to the Australian Treasury. Martin is currently finishing his PhD in Economics at Oxford University.

Academic publications

Gillitzer, C and M McCarthy (2019) ‘Does global inflation help forecast inflation in industrialized countries?’ Journal of Applied Econometrics, 34(5) pp 850-857.

Other Research Papers

Loungani, P, A Mate, M McCarthy and U Collodel (2023) ‘The IMF’s Forecasting and Policy Advice Formulation Processes During the Pandemic’ IMF Independent Evaluation Office Background Paper, No 23-01/04.

Policy publications

Devereux, M, F Bares, S Clifford, J Freedman, I Guceri, M McCarthy, M Simmler and J Vella (2020) ‘The OECD Global Anti-Base Erosion Proposal’ Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation Report.