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The Information Content of Financial Aggregates in Australia

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 278KB
For Australiandata, Trevor and Thorp (1988) investigate out-of-sample properties of simple VARmodels for forecasting the Australian economy.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1996/pdf/rdp9606.pdf

Managing Market Risk in Banks

17 Jun 2003 Bulletin PDF 44KB
There isno doubt that this characteristic makes VaRmodels a powerful management tool.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/1996/dec/pdf/bu-1296-1.pdf

Measuring Traded Market Risk: Value-at-risk and Backtesting Techniques

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 400KB
MEASURING TRADED MARKET RISK: VALUE-AT-RISK ANDBACKTESTING TECHNIQUES. Colleen Cassidy and Marianne Gizycki. Research Discussion Paper9708. November 1997. Bank Supervision Department. Reserve Bank of Australia. The views expressed in this paper are
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1997/pdf/rdp9708.pdf

Terms of Trade Shocks: What are They and What Do They Do?

21 Dec 2011 RDP PDF 650KB
VARmodels identified using this technique are known as sign-restricted VARs. Signrestrictions have been used as a method of identifying structural shocks in VARmodels by Faust (1998), Canova and De NicoloĢ
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2011/pdf/rdp2011-05.pdf

An Empirical BVAR-DSGE Model of the Australian Economy

2 Feb 2015 RDP PDF 657KB
In this paper we study the forecasting performance of a small open economy VARmodel when information from the DSGE model developed earlier in the paper is.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2013/pdf/rdp2013-07.pdf

Forecasting Australian Economic Activity Using Leadership Indicators

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 338KB
We now consider the contribution of each index. For the WM index, the VARmodel with trend is the one with the best forecasting performance at all forecasthorizons, although the gain relative
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2000/pdf/rdp2000-02.pdf

Monetary Policy and the Exchange Rate: Evaluation of VAR Models

30 Sep 2010 RDP PDF 334KB
This paper examines the consequences of using recursive and sign-restricted VARmodels to identify monetary policy shocks when the data-generating processis an estimated small open economy DSGE model for Australia ... Overall, the results suggest that
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2010/pdf/rdp2010-07.pdf

A Multi-sector Model of the Australian Economy

14 May 2015 RDP PDF 1314KB
Del Negro and Schorfheide (2013) survey the existingliterature and conclude that DSGE model forecasts are comparable to standard AR or VARmodels, but can be dominated by more sophisticated univariate or multivariate
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/pdf/rdp2015-07.pdf

A Structural Vector Autoregression Model of Monetary Policy in Australia

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 818KB
A STRUCTURAL VECTOR AUTOREGRESSION MODEL OFMONETARY POLICY IN AUSTRALIA. Andrea Brischetto and Graham Voss. Research Discussion Paper1999-11. December 1999. Economic Research Department. Reserve Bank of Australia. The authors would like to thank Ron
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1999/pdf/rdp1999-11.pdf

Structural Evolution of the Postwar U.S. Economy

12 Dec 2013 Research Workshop PDF 950KB
Reserve Bank of Australia Workshop 2013
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/workshops/research/2013/pdf/liu-morley.pdf