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RBA Glossary definition for VAR models

VAR models – Vector Auto Regression models

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Meet MARTIN, the RBA's new macroeconomic model

15 Mar 2018 Bulletin – March 2018
Tom Cusbert and Elizabeth Kendall
suite of vector autoregression (VAR) models described in Gerard and Nimark (2008). ... Likewise, the VAR models are used to produce forecasts each quarter as an input into the forecasting process.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2018/mar/meet-martin-the-rbas-new-macroeconomic-model.html

Managing Market Risk in Banks

10 Dec 1996 Bulletin – December 1996
Leading international banks have begun to model these liquidity effects in more detail and incorporate them directly into their VaR models, although this work is still at a relatively early stage. ... There is no doubt that this characteristic makes VaR
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/1996/dec/1.html

Estimating the Relative Contributions of Supply and Demand Drivers to Inflation in Australia

15 Jun 2023 Bulletin – June 2023
Ben Beckers, Jonathan Hambur and Tom Williams
Inflation has increased substantially since mid-2021.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2023/jun/estimating-the-relative-contributions-of-supply-and-demand-drivers-to-inflation-in-australia.html

Cyclical Labour Market Adjustment in Australia

17 Mar 2016 Bulletin – March 2016
James Bishop and Michael Plumb
Since the late 1990s, a larger share of labour market adjustment in Australia has come about via changes in average hours worked, as opposed to changes in the number of people employed. Much of this is likely to reflect that the economic downturns
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2016/mar/2.html

Market Making in Bond Markets

19 Mar 2015 Bulletin – March 2015
Jon Cheshire
In November 2014, the Committee on the Global Financial System (CGFS) published a report on developments in market making and proprietary trading in fixed income and related derivative markets (CGFS 2014). The aim of the report was to facilitate a
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2015/mar/7.html

News Sentiment and the Economy

18 Jun 2020 Bulletin – June 2020
Kim Nguyen and Gianni La Cava
The large and immediate effect of the COVID-19 pandemic on economic activity has increased the need for more real-time indicators of the economy.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2020/jun/news-sentiment-and-the-economy.html

Economic and Financial Research in the Reserve Bank in 1997

10 Jan 1998 Bulletin – January 1998
A paper by Colleen Cassidy and Marianne Gizycki outlines various approaches to obtaining estimates of the VaR. ... Each of the approaches is based on assumptions and these assumptions need to be tested, as do the predictions from the models used to
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/1998/jan/2.html

New Measures of Financial Stress from Non-traditional Data

8 Dec 2022 Bulletin – December 2022
Finn Lattimore and Max Zang
Household and business financial stress has significant implications for financial stability and monetary policy.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2022/dec/new-measures-of-financial-stress-from-non-traditional-data.html

Assessing Physical Climate Risk in Repo-eligible Residential Mortgage-backed Securities

18 Apr 2024 Bulletin – April 2024
Ronan McCarthy and Geordie Reid
This article assesses physical climate risk in Australian residential mortgage-backed securities (RMBS) using two risk metrics.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2024/apr/assessing-physical-climate-risk-in-repo-eligible-residential-mortgage-backed-securities.html

The Economic Effects of Low Interest Rates and Unconventional Monetary Policy

17 Sep 2020 Bulletin – September 2020
Rochelle Guttmann, Dana Lawson and Peter Rickards
The cash rate is currently at its effective lower bound and the Reserve Bank has put in place a suite of alternative monetary policy tools.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2020/sep/the-economic-effects-of-low-interest-rates-and-unconventional-monetary-policy.html