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RBA Glossary definition for VAR models

VAR models – Vector Auto Regression models

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Meet MARTIN, the RBA's new macroeconomic model

15 Mar 2018 Bulletin – March 2018
Tom Cusbert and Elizabeth Kendall
suite of vector autoregression (VAR) models described in Gerard and Nimark (2008). ... Likewise, the VAR models are used to produce forecasts each quarter as an input into the forecasting process.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2018/mar/meet-martin-the-rbas-new-macroeconomic-model.html

Managing Market Risk in Banks

10 Dec 1996 Bulletin – December 1996
Leading international banks have begun to model these liquidity effects in more detail and incorporate them directly into their VaR models, although this work is still at a relatively early stage. ... There is no doubt that this characteristic makes VaR
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/1996/dec/1.html

Bulletin June Quarter 2023

29 Sep 2023 Bulletin - June 2023 PDF 7089KB
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2023/jun/pdf/bulletin-2023-06.pdf

Managing Market Risk in Banks

17 Jun 2003 Bulletin PDF 44KB
Leadinginternational banks have begun to model theseliquidity effects in more detail and incorporatethem directly into their VaR models, althoughthis work is still at a relatively early stage. ... pricemovements that pose the greatest risks tofinancial
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/1996/dec/pdf/bu-1296-1.pdf

Cyclical Labour Market Adjustment in Australia

17 Mar 2016 Bulletin – March 2016
James Bishop and Michael Plumb
Since the late 1990s, a larger share of labour market adjustment in Australia has come about via changes in average hours worked, as opposed to changes in the number of people employed. Much of this is likely to reflect that the economic downturns
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2016/mar/2.html

Estimating the Relative Contributions of Supply and Demand Drivers to Inflation in Australia

15 Jun 2023 Bulletin – June 2023
Ben Beckers, Jonathan Hambur and Tom Williams
Inflation has increased substantially since mid-2021.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2023/jun/estimating-the-relative-contributions-of-supply-and-demand-drivers-to-inflation-in-australia.html

Cyclical Labour Market Adjustment in Australia

16 Mar 2016 Bulletin March Quarter 2016 PDF 688KB
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2016/mar/pdf/bu-0316-2.pdf

Financial Intermediaries

10 Mar 2005 FSR – March 2005
This is evident in the major banks' exposure to market risk through their trading operations, as measured by the average value at risk (VaR). ... Footnote. Value-at-Risk (VaR) models use the distribution of historical price changes to estimate the
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/fsr/2005/mar/fin-intermed.html

Financial Intermediaries

10 Mar 2006 FSR – March 2006
VaR models use the distribution of historical price changes to estimate the potential for future losses, relative to a confidence level. ... A confidence level of 99 per cent, for example, indicates a 99 per cent probability that losses will not exceed
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/fsr/2006/mar/fin-intermed.html

Financial Stability Review - March 2005

12 Jul 2005 FSR PDF 1040KB
Reserve Bank of Australia
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/fsr/2005/mar/pdf/0305.pdf