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RBA Glossary definition for RMSEs

RMSEs – Root Mean Squared Errors

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Glossary

22 Jan 2024
A glossary of terms used on the RBA website
https://www.rba.gov.au/glossary/

Appendix D: Estimation Results for Full Set of Explanatory Variables

31 Jan 2023 RDP 2023-01
Tom Cusbert
0.212. 0.227. 0.179. RMSE. 0.30. 0.20. 0.87. 0.68. Note: , and denote statistical significance at the 1, 5 and 10 per cent levels, respectively.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/2023-01/appendix-d.html
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Government Bond Market Functioning and COVID-19

27 Jul 2020 Bulletin – September 2020
Richard Finlay, Claudia Seibold and Michelle Xiang
The market for Australian Government Securities is a critical fixed income market in Australia, including because it serves as a pricing benchmark for many other interest rates in the economy.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2020/sep/government-bond-market-functioning-and-covid-19.html

Survival Analysis and the Life of Australian Banknotes

19 Sep 2019 Bulletin – September 2019
Shane Aves
The Reserve Bank is in the process of replacing Australia’s first full series of polymer banknotes – the ‘New Note Series’ – with the upgraded ‘Next Generation Banknote’ series.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2019/sep/survival-analysis-and-the-life-of-australian-banknotes.html

Twenty-five Years of Inflation Targeting in Australia: Are There Better Alternatives for the Next Twenty-five Years? | Conference – 2018

12 Apr 2018 Conferences
Warwick J McKibbin and Augustus J Panton
For the succeeding period (2012/13–2016/17), the RMSE for the May one-year-ahead nominal GDP forecast is almost twice that of inflation for the same period, although the ... 0.87. 0.70. 2007/08–2016/17. 1.45. 0.82. 1.04. 0.92. Notes: The RMSE is
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2018/mckibbin-panton.html

Inflation Expectations in Advanced Economies

16 Mar 2017 Bulletin – March 2017
Rachel Adeney, Ivailo Arsov and Richard Evans
Anchored inflation expectations are important for price stability because expectations affect current actions. Although all inflation expectations measures provide some information about future inflation, professional forecasters have been the most
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2017/mar/4.html

Estimation Results

8 Mar 2017 RDP 2017-01
David Reifschneider and Peter Tulip
Errors in predicting actual conditions in years 1996 to 2015. RMSEs for predictions of conditions in:. ... Compared with the size of the RMSEs themselves, such differences seem relatively unimportant.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2017/2017-01/estimation-results.html
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Econometric Analysis

31 Dec 2015 RDP 2015-06
David Rodgers
The aggregate level of credit losses predicted by Model C fits actual losses quite closely (the RMSE is 0.15), so this model provides a macro-level explanation that, while suffering ... This omission of lending standards is partly responsible for the
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/2015-06/eco-analysis.html

Forecasts

11 Sep 2015 RDP 2015-04
Christian Gillitzer
Each number in the table represents the root mean squared error (RMSE) of the forecast relative to the RMSE of an autoregressive forecast; numbers less than unity indicate improved forecast accuracy
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/2015-04/forecasts.html

Results

31 Dec 2013 RDP 2013-07
Sean Langcake and Tim Robinson
Table 4: BVECMX and BVARX Forecast Results – RMSE. Series. Including error-correction terms. ... Table 9: RMSE Without the Export Error-correction Term. Ratio to baseline model.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2013/2013-07/results.html
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