Search: RMSEs
RBA Glossary definition for RMSEs
RMSEs – Root Mean Squared Errors
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Government Bond Market Functioning and COVID-19
27 Jul 2020
Bulletin
– September 2020
The market for Australian Government Securities is a critical fixed income market in Australia, including because it serves as a pricing benchmark for many other interest rates in the economy.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2020/sep/government-bond-market-functioning-and-covid-19.html
Inflation in Australia: Measurement and Modelling | Conference – 2004
9 Aug 2004
Conferences
a ‘reference’ measure of core inflation (such as a 36-month-centred moving average), as indicated by root mean squared error (RMSE) or mean absolute deviation (MAD) statistics. ... Bryan and Cecchetti (1994) propose that the optimal trim can be found
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2004/heath-roberts-bulman.html
Inflation, Indicators and Monetary Policy | Conference – 1992
10 Jul 1992
Conferences
90Q3. 90Q4. 91Q1. 91Q2. 91Q3. 91Q4. RMSE. Actual Outcome. 6.4. 6.8. ... The RMSEs for these dynamic forecasts are well below that for the naive autoregressive model.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/1992/blundell-wignall-lowe-tarditi.html
An Empirical Comparison of Alternative Measures
31 Dec 2006
RDP
2006-03
54.0. Melbourne – constant. Prices growth. (a). 8.5. 8.8. 8.7. RMSE. ... Brisbane – constant. Prices growth. (a). 6.0. 6.3. 6.3. RMSE. 25.0.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2006/2006-03/an-empirical-comparison-of-alternative-measures.html
The Stability of Money Demand
1 May 1987
RDP
8703
1.143. 2.84. RMSE. b. =0.029. 0.097. 5. γ. 2. = 0. ... 2.769). 0.00. 0.962. 2.95. RMSE. b. =0.014. 0.087. 5. γ. 2. =
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1987/8703/the-stability-of-money-demand.html
Multivariate Modelling
1 Aug 1986
RDP
8612
is the optimal forecast and. is the forecast error. By comparing the root mean square error (RMSE) of μ to. , ... Max. Min. RMSE. Australia. M3 (monthly). μ. 011. 009. –. –. 014. 587. 053. 99. 66. –. μ. 012. 005. –. –. –. F. 0.0008. 010.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1986/8612/multivariate-modelling.html
Is it Possible to Pick Good Forecasters?
1 Aug 1983
RDP
8302
It is tempting to award points to the forecasts that did best on average, judged by both RMSE and correlation. ... That is, the forecasters were ranked from one to twelve by the size of their RMSE for each variable for each year.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1983/8302/is-it-possible-to-pick-good-forecasters.html
An Assessment of Estimates of the Output Gap
1 Aug 1998
RDP
9809
RMSE. 0.0030. 0.0022. 0.0021. 0.0026. 0.0015. 0.0021. 0.0016. Mean absolute error. ... 0.0028. 0.0020. 0.0019. 0.0023. 0.0014. 0.0019. 0.0015. Note: RMSE is the root mean square error.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1998/1998-09/assessment-of-estimates-of-the-output-gap.html
Exchange Rate Expectations and the Forward Rate
1 Oct 1989
RDP
8906
s. e. t k. s. t. Judged by the root mean square error (RMSE) over the sample period, both the average market participants' four-week forecast (s. ... The root mean square errors are respectively, 3.3% and 3.2% compared with a RMSE for the no-change
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8906/exchange-rate-expectations-and-the-forward-rate.html
An Equilibrium Model of the UV Relationship
1 Jun 1993
RDP
9305
There is no visible difference between the non-linear expression and its linearised form, with the RMSE only 0.09 per cent.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9305/equilibrium-model-uv-relationship.html