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RBA Glossary definition for RMSEs

RMSEs – Root Mean Squared Errors

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Modelling Inflation in Australia

1 Jul 2010 RDP PDF 497KB
They explain around 60 per cent of the variation in quarterly underlying inflation and have root mean squared errors (RMSE) that are generally less than 0.2 percentage points. ... a) RMSE is calculated as a weighted average of manufactures and
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2010/pdf/rdp2010-03.pdf

Appendix A: Predictability of Capital Flows

21 Dec 2009 RDP 2009-09
Chris Becker and Clare Noone
The Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) serves as a measure of the fit for each model. ... Model. RMSE. i. /RMSE. Naïve. Countries for which p-value indicates significance at 5 per cent level.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2009/2009-09/appendix-a.html

Volatility in International Capital Movements

15 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 240KB
The Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) serves as a measure of the fit for each model. ... However, for emerging economies the average RMSE for the naïve model is more than twice as large as that for industrialised countries (not shown).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2009/pdf/rdp2009-09.pdf

The Real-time Forecasting Performance of Phillips Curves

2 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 127KB
Forecasts for quarterly inflation (one quarter ahead). RMSE 0.31 0.32 0.44 0.33 0.38. ... RMSE of forecasts for quarterly inflation (one quarter ahead). 1976–1980 0.36 0.43 0.53 0.44 0.54.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2003/pdf/rdp2003-12.pdf

Australian House Prices: A Comparison of Hedonic and Repeat-sales Measures

2 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 176KB
Sydney – constant. Prices growth(a) 7.8 8.1 7.9. RMSE 25.1 25.4 25.7. ... RMSE 25.5 25.7 25.7. SSC 50.7 50.0 49.4. Brisbane – constant.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2006/pdf/rdp2006-03.pdf

Measuring Housing Price Growth – Using Stratification to Improve Median-based Measures

2 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 232KB
For each price measure we then calculate a root mean squared error (RMSE) between quarterly. ... 4, changes in the median and seasonally adjusted median are volatile with relatively high RMSEs.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2006/pdf/rdp2006-04.pdf

Housing Leverage in Australia

2 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 604KB
The root mean square error (RMSE) is about $26 000. In the regression model for Type II households our model explains about 46 per cent of the variation in individuals’ wage ... In the regression model for Type III households our model explains nearly
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2003/pdf/rdp2003-09.pdf

A Tale of Two Surveys: Household Debt and Financial Constraints in Australia

2 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 168KB
A TALE OF TWO SURVEYS: HOUSEHOLD DEBT AND FINANCIAL CONSTRAINTS IN AUSTRALIA. Gianni La Cava and John Simon. Research Discussion Paper 2003-08. July 2003. Economic Research Reserve Bank of Australia. The authors thank Jeremy Lawson for assisting in
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2003/pdf/rdp2003-08.pdf

The Distribution and Measurement of Inflation

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 325KB
17 All seasonal adjustment was conducted using EZ-X11. 20. MAD and RMSE. ... RMSE (sa). RMSE (nsa). 21. 3.6 Choosing the Statistical Core Inflation Series.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1998/pdf/rdp9810.pdf

Forecasting Australian Economic Activity Using Leadership Indicators

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 338KB
The RMSE results reported are those from thespecification with the smallest RMSE at the eight-quarter horizon. ... These are roughly the same magnitude as the RMSE statistics themselvesindicating that the forecasts are fairly unreliable.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2000/pdf/rdp2000-02.pdf