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RBA Glossary definition for NAIRU

NAIRU – Non-accelerating inflation rate of unemployment

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Estimating Output Gaps

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 386KB
u nairu B L y yt t t tT. u t= ( )( ) ,ε (6). ... 15. unemployment rate and the NAIRU, there is a substantial negative output gap.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1998/pdf/rdp9809.pdf

Bulletin

17 Apr 2024 Bulletin - April 2024 PDF 7253KB
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2024/apr/pdf/bulletin-2024-04.pdf

Assessing Full Employment in Australia

17 Apr 2024 Bulletin - April 2024 PDF 819KB
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2024/apr/pdf/assessing-full-employment-in-australia.pdf

Reflections on US Labour Market Performance

7 Dec 2006 Conferences PDF 21KB
RBA Conference Volume 1998
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/1998/pdf/stevens-disc.pdf

27/10/2017 Uncertainty | Speeches http://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2017/sp-dg-2017-10-26.html 1/16 Speech ...

26 Oct 2017 PDF 340KB
The NAIRU can only be estimated, rather than directly measured like GDP or inflation. ... The estimates suggest that the NAIRU is slow moving most of the time.
https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2017/pdf/sp-dg-2017-10-26.pdf

Unemployment and Spare Capacity in the Labour Market

17 Sep 2014 Bulletin September Quarter 2014 PDF 456KB
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2014/sep/pdf/bu-0914-2.pdf

Economic Outlook

10 Feb 2020 SMP - November 2018 PDF 1604KB
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/2018/nov/pdf/05-economic-outlook.pdf

Discussion of The Australian Labour Market in the 2000s: The Quiet Decade

13 Dec 2011 Conferences PDF 345KB
RBA Conference Volume 2011
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2011/pdf/borland-disc.pdf

Inflation Targeting: A Victim of Its Own Success?

23 Aug 2015 RDP PDF 932KB
period. 9. be placed on the particular estimates of the NAIRU shown here. ... harder – NAIRU-based forecasts of inflation are now much less reliable and new techniques will need to be developed.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/pdf/rdp2015-09.pdf

On Lags

21 Aug 2018 Speech PDF 227KB
As a result, more recent NAIRU estimates have tended to be revised down. ... unemployment can fall further before wages start to rise. In other words, the NAIRU falls.
https://www.rba.gov.au/speeches/2018/pdf/sp-ag-2018-08-17.pdf