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31–40 of 77 search results for RMSEs

RBA Glossary definition for RMSEs

RMSEs – Root Mean Squared Errors

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Inflation Volatility and Forecast Accuracy

30 Oct 2009 RDP PDF 507KB
For both models,the root mean squared error (RMSE) fell substantially from the first to the second. ... In other words,it always predicts no change in inflation. We also present the RMSEs of a.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2009/pdf/rdp2009-06.pdf

What Caused the Decline in US Business Cycle Volatility? | Conference – 2005

11 Jul 2005 Conferences
Robert J Gordon
Two statistics on simulation errors are provided, the mean error (ME) and the root mean-squared error (RMSE). ... For both equations, the RMSE of the simulations is substantially lower than the standard error of the estimate for the 1962–94 sample
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2005/gordon.html

Modelling Inflation in Australia

1 Jul 2010 RDP PDF 497KB
They explain around 60 per cent of the variation in quarterly underlying inflation and have root mean squared errors (RMSE) that are generally less than 0.2 percentage points. ... a) RMSE is calculated as a weighted average of manufactures and
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2010/pdf/rdp2010-03.pdf

Capital Flows to China and the Issue of Hot Money: An Empirical Investigation

6 Dec 2010 Research Workshop PDF 234KB
Reserve Bank of Australia Research Workshop 2010
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/workshops/research/2010/pdf/lai.pdf

The Performance of Trimmed Mean Measures of Underlying Inflation

12 Dec 2006 RDP PDF 328KB
In Section 5.3, we calculate the root mean squared error (RMSE) of the candidate measures versus similar measures of trend inflation.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2006/pdf/rdp2006-10.pdf

An Empirical BVAR-DSGE Model of the Australian Economy

2 Feb 2015 RDP PDF 657KB
model (as measured by their root meansquared error (RMSE)). ... the forecasting performance across models primarilyby their RMSE and their bias.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2013/pdf/rdp2013-07.pdf

A Perspective | Conference – 1993

12 Jul 1993 Conferences
Adrian Pagan
Applying a similar test to BWFH over the forecast period of 1990/91 to 1992/93 gives the result that the root-mean-squared error (RMSE) of prediction for the real
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/1993/pagan.html

The Information Content of Financial Aggregates in Australia

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 278KB
21 The ratios of the root mean squared error (RMSE) is comparable to the Theil-U statistic used. ... in forecast evaluation that compares a forecast RMSE to that of a random walk forecast.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1996/pdf/rdp9606.pdf

Monetary Policy Goals for Inflation in Australia

30 Nov 2009 RDP PDF 85KB
0.23 0.29. RMSE 1.27 1.21. # Announced in August of preceding year. ... 7 The weighted average RMSE of the individual OECD forecasts for the G7 countries over theperiod 1974-1992 was 1.5 per cent.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1995/pdf/rdp9503.pdf

Econometric Analysis

31 Dec 2015 RDP 2015-06
David Rodgers
The aggregate level of credit losses predicted by Model C fits actual losses quite closely (the RMSE is 0.15), so this model provides a macro-level explanation that, while suffering ... This omission of lending standards is partly responsible for the
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/2015-06/eco-analysis.html