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How Risky is Australian Household Debt?

25 Aug 2020 RDP 2020-05
Jonathan Kearns, Mike Major and David Norman
It is commonly cited as a major risk to numerous countries, including Australia.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/2020-05.html

How Risky is Australian Household Debt?

25 Aug 2020 RDP 2020-05
Jonathan Kearns, Mike Major and David Norman
In particular, it does not capture other factors that indicate the riskiness of household debt. ... specifically, income earners), which would lower household income by more than it lowers debt.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/2020-05/full.html

Read me

25 Aug 2020 RDP 2020-05
Jonathan Kearns, Mike Major and David Norman
To do this, it first calls data from ‘stata_input.xlsx’. To recreate the contributions data in Figures 5 and 6, use the following formula:.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/2020-05/read-me.html

Non-technical summary for ‘How Risky is Australian Household Debt?’

25 Aug 2020 RDP 2020-05
Jonathan Kearns, Mike Major and David Norman
history. Many commentators argue that it creates a major vulnerability for the country's economy. ... Why is household debt in Australia relatively high compared with other countries, and what are the main reasons it has increased over time?
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/2020-05/non-technical-summary.html

Stress Testing Household Debt

25 Aug 2020 RDP 2020-05
Jonathan Kearns, Mike Major and David Norman
It is possible that our results overstate the extent of debt-at-risk because of some simplifications in our approach. ... It is also moderately larger than Ballantyne et al (2019), even when controlling for monetary stimulus.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/2020-05/stress-testing-household-debt.html

Introduction

25 Aug 2020 RDP 2020-05
Jonathan Kearns, Mike Major and David Norman
In particular, it does not capture other factors that indicate the riskiness of household debt. ... However, it still requires assumptions to be made about the capacity (and willingness) of households to service their debt.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/2020-05/introduction.html

References

25 Aug 2020 RDP 2020-05
Jonathan Kearns, Mike Major and David Norman
Borio C, M Drehmann and K Tsatsaronis (2014), ‘Stress-Testing Macro Stress Testing: Does it Live up to Expectations?’, Journal of Financial Stability, 12, pp 3–15.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/2020-05/references.html

Why is Australian Household Debt High Relative to History and Other Countries?

25 Aug 2020 RDP 2020-05
Jonathan Kearns, Mike Major and David Norman
specifically, income earners), which would lower household income by more than it lowers debt. ... it may be related to the pace of growth in the DTI ratio, not its level).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/2020-05/why-is-australian-household-debt-high-relative-to-history-and-other-countries.html