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MARTIN Gets a Bank Account: Adding a Banking Sector to the RBA's Macroeconometric Model

18 Jan 2022 RDP 2022-01
Anthony Brassil, Mike Major and Peter Rickards
During large downturns, monetary policy is more effective than usual because it can reduce loan losses and therefore moderate any reduction in credit supply.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-01.html

BA-MARTIN in Detail

18 Jan 2022 RDP 2022-01
Anthony Brassil, Mike Major and Peter Rickards
For our purposes, it is sufficient to define banks' return on assets (ROA = profits / assets) rather than their profits. ... It is only when losses normalise that capital ratios increase at a noticeably faster speed.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-01/ba-martin-in-detail.html

Appendix A: Literature Review

18 Jan 2022 RDP 2022-01
Anthony Brassil, Mike Major and Peter Rickards
While the existence of financial accelerator mechanisms was known before the global financial crisis (Kiyotaki and Moore 1997; Bernanke et al 1999), it was this crisis that highlighted the failure of ... It seems as though the linkage is almost entirely
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-01/appendix-a.html

Conclusion

18 Jan 2022 RDP 2022-01
Anthony Brassil, Mike Major and Peter Rickards
We assume the economy starts from a benign economic situation before it is ‘shocked’ in a way that stresses the banking sector and requires monetary policy to respond. ... The results are promising; monetary policy is more effective precisely when it
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-01/conclusion.html

MARTIN Gets a Bank Account: Adding a Banking Sector to the RBA's Macroeconometric Model

18 Jan 2022 RDP 2022-01
Anthony Brassil, Mike Major and Peter Rickards
For our purposes, it is sufficient to define banks' return on assets (ROA = profits / assets) rather than their profits. ... It is only when losses normalise that capital ratios increase at a noticeably faster speed.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-01/full.html

Introduction

18 Jan 2022 RDP 2022-01
Anthony Brassil, Mike Major and Peter Rickards
So it is important for the RBA to have a modelling framework that incorporates at least some of these accelerator channels. ... So it can weather larger storms. Second, the majority of assets held by Australian banks are loans that can be repriced at
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-01/introduction.html

Non-technical summary for ‘MARTIN Gets a Bank Account: Adding a Banking Sector to the RBA's Macroeconometric Model’

18 Jan 2022 RDP 2022-01
Anthony Brassil, Mike Major and Peter Rickards
And so it goes on compounding. Having a banking sector in MARTIN allows us to explore important policy questions. ... During large downturns, monetary policy is more effective than usual because it can reduce loan losses and therefore moderate any
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-01/non-technical-summary.html

How Might COVID-19 Have Affected the Banking Sector and What Feedback Would This Have Had on the Real Economy?

18 Jan 2022 RDP 2022-01
Anthony Brassil, Mike Major and Peter Rickards
In reality, monetary policy would respond by reducing the cash rate (or via unconventional policies), and it is likely that governments and APRA would also respond. ... The reduction in credit is shown as it will not differ between implementations.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-01/how-might-covid-19-have-affected-the-banking-sector-and-what-feedback-would-this-have-had-on-the-real-economy.html

How Does the Pass-through of Monetary Policy Change with the State of the Economy?

18 Jan 2022 RDP 2022-01
Anthony Brassil, Mike Major and Peter Rickards
the cash rate (in some states of the economy), it will also change how other macroeconomic variables respond to monetary policy. ... So it is important for policymakers to take this reduced pass-through into account when formulating policy.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-01/how-does-the-pass-through-of-monetary-policy-change-with-the-state-of-the-economy.html