Search: year-ended growth
RBA Glossary definition for year-ended growth
year-ended growth – The rate of change between the period and the equivalent period in the previous year, where the period is typically a month or a quarter. For example 'year-ended growth June 2012' means the percentage change between June 2011 and June 2012. It can also be referred to as 'growth over the year' or 'through-the-year growth'.
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Jobs or Hours? Cyclical Labour Market Adjustment in Australia
1 Sep 2016
RDP
2016-06
Year-ended, monthly. Note: Year-ended growth rates are smoothed using a 13-period Henderson moving average. ... Figure 4: Real GDP Growth. Year-ended. Note: Downturns in total hours worked are shaded.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2016/2016-06/full.html
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Modelling Inflation in Australia
1 Jul 2010
RDP
PDF
497KB
inflation, inflation expectations, the output gap and quarterly growth in unit labour costs) is included, but the model is augmented with various lags of year-ended unit labour costs and import ... 2005). 20. Figure 4: Fitted Values of Trimmed Mean
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2010/pdf/rdp2010-03.pdf
Estimates of Uncertainty around the RBA's Forecasts
28 Jan 2015
RDP
PDF
689KB
For example, the 90 per cent confidence interval for GDP growth in the year ended 2013:Q4 extends from 0.9 per cent to 5.7 per cent. ... This is illustrated in Figure 4, which shows 3-quarter-ahead forecast errors for year-ended GDP growth for the RBA
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2012/pdf/rdp2012-07.pdf
Results
31 Dec 2007
RDP
2007-09
The reasonable fit of the models is shown in Figure 9, which presents year-ended percentage changes in investment along with the implied fitted values for each full-sample regression. ... This leads to some divergences between fitted and actual values,
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2007/2007-09/results.html
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Appendix C: Forecast Data and Alternative Specifications
29 May 2017
RDP
2017-02
The survey provides calendar-year average forecasts for real GDP growth and year-ended forecasts (to December quarter) for CPI inflation. ... BRW's survey was conducted once per quarter, typically during the final month of the quarter, and provided
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2017/2017-02/appendix-c.html
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Forecasts
11 Sep 2015
RDP
2015-04
For forecast horizons between one quarter and two years, the first set of quarterly growth forecasts is generated for 1980:Q1, using a ten-year in-sample period to estimate each ... Footnotes. Quarterly inflation and GDP growth forecasts can be inferred
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/2015-04/forecasts.html
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Wage Growth Puzzles and Technology
21 Sep 2018
RDP
PDF
1423KB
Wage price index forecasts, year-ended. Note: February Statement on Monetary Policy forecasts. ... Compensation per employee forecasts, year-ended. Source: OECD, Economic Outlook. While this research work has to date raised almost as many questions as it
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2018/pdf/rdp2018-10.pdf
Robustness Checks
31 Dec 2014
RDP
2014-11
Figure 11 shows the response of year-ended inflation to an exchange rate shock in each of the model specifications discussed above. ... In most models, the appreciation triggers a fall in year-ended inflation of between 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points five
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2014/2014-11/rob-checks.html
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Appendix: Data Sources and Methods
1 Aug 1988
RDP
8805
Data for real interest rates are calculated by deducting the year-ended change in the Consumer Price Index from the nominal bill rate. ... Quarterly growth rates for M3 and bank lending are adjusted for the entry of new banks.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1988/8805/appendix.html
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Simulations
31 Dec 2005
RDP
2005-11
Year-ended underlying inflation is just under 0.4 percentage points lower than baseline after three years, and continues to decline thereafter. ... This induces corresponding oscillations in both headline and underlying consumer price inflation, albeit
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-11/simulations.html
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