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RBA Glossary definition for VAR models

VAR models – Vector Auto Regression models

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Can We Use High-frequency Yield Data to Better Understand the Effects of Monetary Policy and Its Communication? Yes and No!

1 Apr 2023 RDP 2023-04
Jonathan Hambur
model the future path of interest rates and premia based on data on yields. ... Our baseline VAR is estimated (using ordinary least squares) at a monthly frequency.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/2023-04/full.html
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Does Monetary Policy Affect Non-mining Business Investment in Australia? Evidence from BLADE

7 Jan 2024 RDP PDF 1715KB
macroeconomic models. For example, many models, including Woodford (2005), model investment. ... local projection model using (log) aggregate real non-mining investment (gross fixed capital.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/pdf/rdp2023-09.pdf

Identification and Inference under Narrative Restrictions

20 Oct 2023 RDP PDF 1128KB
The initial conditions. (y1p,. ,y0) are given. The reduced-form VAR(p) representation is. ... the likelihood of the reduced-form VAR), whichdepends only on ϕϕϕ and the data.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/pdf/rdp2023-07.pdf

Estimating the Effects of Monetary Policy in Australia Using Sign-restricted Structural Vector Autoregressions

29 Dec 2022 RDP PDF 1886KB
known problems with conducting Bayesian inference in set-identified models; in particular, a. ... 3.1 Specification of reduced-form VAR. The model includes a domestic block and a foreign block.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/pdf/rdp2022-09.pdf

The Dynamics of the Estimated Model

1 Jun 2015 RDP 2015-07
Daniel Rees, Penelope Smith and Jamie Hall
Using a structural VAR model, Manalo, Perera and Rees (in progress) find quantitatively similar results to us. ... In contrast, VAR models of the Australian economy typically attribute a larger share of macroeconomic volatility to foreign disturbances
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/2015-07/dynamics-estimated-model.html
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Start Spreading the News: News Sentiment and Economic Activity in Australia

23 Dec 2020 RDP 2020-08
Kim Nguyen and Gianni La Cava
7. Robustness Tests and Extensions. We test for the robustness of estimated impulse responses in Section 5.2 using a multivariate VAR model which includes the current and lags of change ... Similarly, we run a VAR model to estimate the impulse responses
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/2020-08/full.html
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An Empirical BVAR-DSGE Model of the Australian Economy

2 Feb 2015 RDP PDF 657KB
3. Estimating the Models 8. 3.1 Estimating the DSGE Model 83.1.1 Estimating the large economy Minnesota VAR 83.1.2 DSGE calibration 103.1.3 DSGE posterior 12. ... 3.3 Estimating the Benchmark Models 173.3.1 The small open economy Minnesota VAR 17.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2013/pdf/rdp2013-07.pdf

A Suite of Models

16 May 2008 RDP 2008-02
Hugo Gerard and Kristoffer Nimark
The BVAR shrinks the parameters on integrated variables in an unrestricted VAR towards the univariate random walk model. ... Each model is briefly presented below along with an overview of how the individual models are estimated.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2008/2008-02/sui-models.html
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Estimation and Solution of Models with Expectations and Structural Changes

19 Dec 2012 RDP 2012-08
Mariano Kulish and Adrian Pagan
Research Discussion Papers contain the results of economic research within the Reserve Bank
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2012/2012-08.html
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Robustness

31 Dec 2013 RDP 2013-14
Isaac Gross and James Hansen
An important question is whether the estimated VAR is consistent with our theoretical model. ... VAR, but are assumed to be a statistically independent AR(1) process in the theoretical model.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2013/2013-14/robustness.html
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