Search: VAR models
RBA Glossary definition for VAR models
VAR models – Vector Auto Regression models
Search Results
A Small BVAR-DSGE Model for Forecasting the Australian Economy
10 Feb 2009
RDP
PDF
599KB
VAR. The forecasting performance of themodel is competitive with benchmark models such as a Minnesota VAR and anindependently estimated DSGE model. ... 2. prior.3 While the Minnesota prior has aided the forecasting ability of VAR models,it is a purely
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2008/pdf/rdp2008-04.pdf
Can We Use High-frequency Yield Data to Better Understand the Effects of Monetary Policy and Its Communication? Yes and No!
1 Apr 2023
RDP
2023-04
model the future path of interest rates and premia based on data on yields. ... Our baseline VAR is estimated (using ordinary least squares) at a monthly frequency.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/2023-04/full.html
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Does Monetary Policy Affect Non-mining Business Investment in Australia? Evidence from BLADE
7 Jan 2024
RDP
PDF
1715KB
macroeconomic models. For example, many models, including Woodford (2005), model investment. ... local projection model using (log) aggregate real non-mining investment (gross fixed capital.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/pdf/rdp2023-09.pdf
Managing Market Risk in Banks
10 Dec 1996
Bulletin
– December 1996
Leading international banks have begun to model these liquidity effects in more detail and incorporate them directly into their VaR models, although this work is still at a relatively early stage. ... There is no doubt that this characteristic makes VaR
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/1996/dec/1.html
Identification and Inference under Narrative Restrictions
20 Oct 2023
RDP
PDF
1128KB
The initial conditions. (y1p,. ,y0) are given. The reduced-form VAR(p) representation is. ... the likelihood of the reduced-form VAR), whichdepends only on ϕϕϕ and the data.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/pdf/rdp2023-07.pdf
Estimating the Effects of Monetary Policy in Australia Using Sign-restricted Structural Vector Autoregressions
29 Dec 2022
RDP
PDF
1886KB
known problems with conducting Bayesian inference in set-identified models; in particular, a. ... 3.1 Specification of reduced-form VAR. The model includes a domestic block and a foreign block.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/pdf/rdp2022-09.pdf
The Dynamics of the Estimated Model
1 Jun 2015
RDP
2015-07
Using a structural VAR model, Manalo, Perera and Rees (in progress) find quantitatively similar results to us. ... In contrast, VAR models of the Australian economy typically attribute a larger share of macroeconomic volatility to foreign disturbances
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/2015-07/dynamics-estimated-model.html
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Start Spreading the News: News Sentiment and Economic Activity in Australia
23 Dec 2020
RDP
2020-08
7. Robustness Tests and Extensions. We test for the robustness of estimated impulse responses in Section 5.2 using a multivariate VAR model which includes the current and lags of change ... Similarly, we run a VAR model to estimate the impulse responses
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/2020-08/full.html
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An Empirical BVAR-DSGE Model of the Australian Economy
2 Feb 2015
RDP
PDF
657KB
3. Estimating the Models 8. 3.1 Estimating the DSGE Model 83.1.1 Estimating the large economy Minnesota VAR 83.1.2 DSGE calibration 103.1.3 DSGE posterior 12. ... 3.3 Estimating the Benchmark Models 173.3.1 The small open economy Minnesota VAR 17.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2013/pdf/rdp2013-07.pdf
A Suite of Models
16 May 2008
RDP
2008-02
The BVAR shrinks the parameters on integrated variables in an unrestricted VAR towards the univariate random walk model. ... Each model is briefly presented below along with an overview of how the individual models are estimated.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2008/2008-02/sui-models.html
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