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RBA Glossary definition for Trend

Trend – A trend series is a seasonally adjusted series that has been further adjusted to remove irregular effects and �smooth� out the series to show the overall �trend� of the data over time. This series is usually provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.

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Stylised Facts of the Australian Labour Market

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 484KB
We now turn to an examination of the trends in labourdemand and supply. ... Over the longer run, there has been a trend decline in the labour.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1998/pdf/rdp9804.pdf

The Changing Way We Pay: Trends in Consumer Payments

4 Feb 2015 RDP PDF 1225KB
ISSN 1320-7229 (Print). ISSN 1448-5109 (Online). The Changing Way We Pay: Trends in Consumer Payments. ... The Changing Way We Pay: Trends in Consumer Payments. Crystal Ossolinksi, Tai Lam and David Emery.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2014/pdf/rdp2014-05.pdf

DEVIATIOUS FROM PURCHASIWG POWER PARITY : THE AUSTRALIM CASE ...

20 Oct 2014 RDP PDF 632KB
this seems implausible without specific assumptions about trend movements in relative commodity prices. ... trend decline. One exception to this general pattern is the period from about.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1987/pdf/rdp8711.pdf

Long-term Patterns in Australia’s Terms of Trade

2 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 212KB
trade. Table 2: Trend in the Terms of Tradetott = α β t εt. ... Overall, these resultsindicate that there is at most a weak negative deterministic trend.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/pdf/rdp2005-01.pdf

Okun's Law and Potential Output

1 Dec 2015 RDP PDF 987KB
The Kalman filter is commonly used to distinguish between trends, cycles, noise and other influences. ... finding that the unemployment rate moves towards a two-sided trend of itself is spurious.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/pdf/rdp2015-14.pdf

A Markov-switching Model of Inflation in Australia

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 76KB
Clearly, given enough breaks, any I(1) series could be indistinguishable from an I(0) seriesaround a broken trend. ... In the results below, GAP is the output gap expressed asa per cent deviation from trend.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1996/pdf/rdp9611.pdf

MODELLING RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN AUSTRALIAN ASSET MARKETS: SOME PRELIMINARY ...

18 Apr 2015 RDP PDF 632KB
private expected sales. real statistical discrepancy. time trend starting in 1959(3). ... Trend rate of technical progress A3 (.0045). Trend rate of growth of labour productivity A4 = X3/(1 - BlO) (.0075).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1984/pdf/rdp8403.pdf

An Empirical Examination of the Fisher Effect in Australia

30 Nov 2009 RDP PDF 96KB
exhibit trends, as occurred with the rise in rates in the 1970s, these two serieswill trend together and, thus, there will be a strong correlation between the two. ... Asa result the Fisher effect appears to be strong in the periods when interest rates
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1994/pdf/rdp9410.pdf

The Demand for Money in Australia: New Tests on an Old Topic

30 Nov 2009 RDP PDF 135KB
A constant and time trend are included only ifstatistically significant at the 5 per cent level. ... The otheraggregates remain I(1), though most of the selected trend breaks appear to besignificant.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/pdf/rdp9314.pdf

The Term Funding Facility: Has It Encouraged Business Lending?

8 Dec 2022 RDP PDF 2133KB
5.2 Parallel trends assumption 14. 6. Was the Additional Allowance Feature Effective? ... counterfactual is to visually inspect the trends in the lead-up to the TFF.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/pdf/rdp2022-07.pdf