Search: Trend
RBA Glossary definition for Trend
Trend – A trend series is a seasonally adjusted series that has been further adjusted to remove irregular effects and �smooth� out the series to show the overall �trend� of the data over time. This series is usually provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
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23 Nov 2016
RDP
2016-08
A number of papers identify an increase in trend productivity growth at this time (e.g. ... This specification implies that the economy can receive shocks that temporarily drive productivity growth away from its long-run trend.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2016/2016-08/results.html
The Slowdown in US Productivity Growth: Breaks and Beliefs
1 Oct 2016
RDP
2016-08
A desirable feature of the model is that it assumes that TFP growth follows a stochastic trend. ... A number of papers identify an increase in trend productivity growth at this time (e.g.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2016/2016-08/full.html
Model
23 Nov 2016
RDP
2016-08
A desirable feature of the model is that it assumes that TFP growth follows a stochastic trend. ... Figure 2: A Decrease in Trend Productivity Growth. Perhaps the most surprising response is that of investment growth.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2016/2016-08/model.html
References
23 Nov 2016
RDP
2016-08
Cogley T (2005), ‘How Fast Can the New Economy Grow? A Bayesian Analysis of the Evolution of Trend Growth’, Journal of Macroeconomics, 27(2), pp 179–207. ... Hoffmann M, MU Krause and T Laubach (2012), ‘Trend Growth Expectations and U.S.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2016/2016-08/references.html
Appendix F: Including Multiple Observed Wage Series in Estimation
23 Nov 2016
RDP
2016-08
It therefore may be an undesirable series to use to uncover trends in long-run growth.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2016/2016-08/appendix-f.html
Introduction
23 Nov 2016
RDP
2016-08
But even so, the level of GDP remains well below what an extrapolation of its pre-recession trend would imply.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2016/2016-08/introduction.html