Search: Trend
RBA Glossary definition for Trend
Trend – A trend series is a seasonally adjusted series that has been further adjusted to remove irregular effects and �smooth� out the series to show the overall �trend� of the data over time. This series is usually provided by the Australian Bureau of Statistics.
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Trends in the Terms of Trade
31 Dec 2005
RDP
2005-01
Table 2: Trend in the Terms of Trade. tot. t. = a βt ε. ... Overall, these results indicate that there is at most a weak negative deterministic trend.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-01/trends-terms-of-trade.html
Long-term Patterns in Australia's Terms of Trade
1 Apr 2005
RDP
2005-01
Research Discussion Papers contain the results of economic research within the Reserve Bank
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-01.html
Conclusion
31 Dec 2005
RDP
2005-01
trade. But the trend is no more than 0.1 per cent per annum over the full sample. ... Perhaps surprisingly, the growth in manufactures exports had little role in ameliorating the negative trend.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-01/conclusion.html
Long-Term Patterns in Australia's Terms of Trade
1 Apr 2005
RDP
2005-01
Research Discussion Paper – RDP 2005-01 Long-Term Patterns in Australia's Terms of Trade. Christian Gillitzer and Jonathan Kearns. April 2005. 212. KB. The views expressed in this paper are those of the authors and should not be attributed to the
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-01/
Introduction
31 Dec 2005
RDP
2005-01
From the mid 1950s there was seemingly a stronger negative trend, at least until the mid 1980s. ... In the first part, Section 2, we test whether there is a trend in Australia's terms of trade and assess its magnitude.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-01/introduction.html
References
31 Dec 2005
RDP
2005-01
IMF Staff Papers. , 47(2), pp 177–217. Cashin P and CJ McDermott (2002), ‘The long-run behavior of commodity prices: small trends and big variability’,.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-01/references.html
Terms of Trade Volatility
31 Dec 2005
RDP
2005-01
All logged series were detrended using an HP filter trend with λ = 100. ... Using the Australian GDP deflator instead of an HP filter trend gives qualitatively similar results.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-01/terms-of-trade-volatility.html