Search: RMSEs
RBA Glossary definition for RMSEs
RMSEs – Root Mean Squared Errors
Search Results
Introduction
16 May 2008
RDP
2008-02
2007). While point forecast combinations are usually evaluated according to root mean squared errors (RMSE), the criteria for evaluating density forecasts are less clear cut.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2008/2008-02/introduction.html
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Out-Of-Sample Forecasting
1 Nov 1996
RDP
9606
For each forecast horizon from 1 to 8 periods into the future, the root mean squared error (RMSE) is generated for each model. ... forecast. In our case, if the financial aggregates add no value to the forecast, the two VAR model alternatives should have
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1996/9606/out-of-sample-forecasting.html
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An Empirical Comparison of Alternative Measures
31 Dec 2006
RDP
2006-03
54.0. Melbourne – constant. Prices growth. (a). 8.5. 8.8. 8.7. RMSE. ... Brisbane – constant. Prices growth. (a). 6.0. 6.3. 6.3. RMSE. 25.0.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2006/2006-03/an-empirical-comparison-of-alternative-measures.html
The Stability of Money Demand
1 May 1987
RDP
8703
1.143. 2.84. RMSE. b. =0.029. 0.097. 5. γ. 2. = 0. ... 2.769). 0.00. 0.962. 2.95. RMSE. b. =0.014. 0.087. 5. γ. 2. =
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1987/8703/the-stability-of-money-demand.html
Multivariate Modelling
1 Aug 1986
RDP
8612
is the optimal forecast and. is the forecast error. By comparing the root mean square error (RMSE) of μ to. , ... Max. Min. RMSE. Australia. M3 (monthly). μ. 011. 009. –. –. 014. 587. 053. 99. 66. –. μ. 012. 005. –. –. –. F. 0.0008. 010.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1986/8612/multivariate-modelling.html
Is it Possible to Pick Good Forecasters?
1 Aug 1983
RDP
8302
It is tempting to award points to the forecasts that did best on average, judged by both RMSE and correlation. ... That is, the forecasters were ranked from one to twelve by the size of their RMSE for each variable for each year.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1983/8302/is-it-possible-to-pick-good-forecasters.html
An Assessment of Estimates of the Output Gap
1 Aug 1998
RDP
9809
RMSE. 0.0030. 0.0022. 0.0021. 0.0026. 0.0015. 0.0021. 0.0016. Mean absolute error. ... 0.0028. 0.0020. 0.0019. 0.0023. 0.0014. 0.0019. 0.0015. Note: RMSE is the root mean square error.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1998/1998-09/assessment-of-estimates-of-the-output-gap.html
Exchange Rate Expectations and the Forward Rate
1 Oct 1989
RDP
8906
s. e. t k. s. t. Judged by the root mean square error (RMSE) over the sample period, both the average market participants' four-week forecast (s. ... The root mean square errors are respectively, 3.3% and 3.2% compared with a RMSE for the no-change
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8906/exchange-rate-expectations-and-the-forward-rate.html
An Equilibrium Model of the UV Relationship
1 Jun 1993
RDP
9305
There is no visible difference between the non-linear expression and its linearised form, with the RMSE only 0.09 per cent.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9305/equilibrium-model-uv-relationship.html
Underlying Inflation Concepts and Alternative Measures
31 Dec 2005
RDP
2005-05
Bryan and Cecchetti (1994) suggest that the optimal trim can be found by searching across different trims and choosing the time-invariant trim that minimises the root mean squared error (RMSE) ... in the calculation of the RMSE and mean absolute
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-05/underlying-inflation-concepts-measures.html