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RBA Glossary definition for ECM

ECM – Error-correction ratio

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Core Equations

23 Aug 2019 RDP 2019-07
Alexander Ballantyne, Tom Cusbert, Richard Evans, Rochelle Guttmann, Jonathan Hambur, Adam Hamilton, Elizabeth Kendall, Rachael McCririck, Gabriela Nodari and Daniel Rees
In all the ECM equations, the symbol. γ. is the speed of adjustment parameter and error. ... We model dwelling investment using an ECM with consumption, real mortgage interest rates and the relative price of dwelling investment.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2019/2019-07/core-equations.html
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Reduced-form Model

6 May 2018 RDP 2018-05
Jonathan Hambur and Gianni La Cava
This model can be re-parameterised as an error correction model (ECM), which allows for easy identification of the long- and short-run dynamics:. ... While this should not introduce any estimation issues, the model is no longer an ECM as gross investment
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2018/2018-05/reduced-form-model.html
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Introduction

1 Jul 2016 RDP 2016-05
Christian Gillitzer and Angus Moore
Our findings of highly persistent deviations from the law of one price imply a very slow speed of adjustment in aggregate error correction models (ECMs) of import prices. ... the ECM they use imposes the law of one price, first-stage pass-through is
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2016/2016-05/introduction.html
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The Baseline ECM

31 Dec 2015 RDP 2015-12
Jonathan Hambur, Lynne Cockerell, Christopher Potter, Penelope Smith and Michelle Wright
RDP 2015-12: Modelling the Australian Dollar 3. The Baseline ECM. Jonathan Hambur, Lynne Cockerell, Christopher Potter, Penelope Smith and Michelle Wright. ... Download the Paper 1.39. MB. The baseline ECM is specified to address the following question:.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/2015-12/the-baseline-ecm.html
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Transitory and Persistent Income Inequality

31 Dec 2015 RDP 2015-15
Rosetta Dollman, Greg Kaplan, Gianni La Cava and Tahlee Stone
We next use an error components model (ECM) to decompose residual income inequality. ... The ECM has been standard in the inequality literature since Gottschalk and Moffitt (1994).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/2015-15/transitory-and-persistent-income-inequality.html

Appendix B: Levels or Differences?

31 Dec 2014 RDP 2014-12
Daniel Rees, David Lancaster and Richard Finlay
Table B1 shows the results for Model 2 estimated in error correction form (ECM). ... However, the variances of some of the shocks are smaller in the ECM model.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2014/2014-12/appendix-b.html

Results

31 Dec 2007 RDP 2007-09
Lynne Cockerell and Steven Pennings
To allow for the potential non-stationarity of the series, error-correction models (ECMs) of the following form are estimated:. ... Table 2: Investment ECM – Narrow Specification. Equipment (1). 1974–2006. Building (2).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2007/2007-09/results.html

Empirical Assessment

31 Dec 2006 RDP 2006-07
Paul Hiebert
From the ECM estimations, reported in Table 1, the following observations can be made:. ... 0.96. 0.37. 0.39. Notes: ECM(1) indicates lagged error term from level equation.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2006/2006-07/empirical-assessment.html

Modelling Strategy and Results

31 Dec 2005 RDP 2005-12
Gianni La Cava
The Error Correction Model (ECM) specification can be derived from this static capital demand equation. ... The first model (EC1) is the standard ECM without cash flow in the formulation.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-12/modelling-strategy-results.html
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Appendix C: Supplementary Results and Robustness

31 Dec 2004 RDP 2004-01
Ellis Connolly and Marion Kohler
represent significance at 5 and 10 per cent levels. Standard errors on the long-run variables in the ECMs are calculated using a Bewley Transformation. ... Table C2: Supplementary ECM Results for Voluntary Saving Equations. Long-run coefficients only,
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2004/2004-01/appendix-c.html
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