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27 Feb 2018
RDP
2018-02
Jonathan Hambur and Richard Finlay
na. na. σ. cash rate. 0.0037. (0.0001). na. na. na. na. ... Specifically, we estimated a model of nominal rates using the methodology outlined in Adrian et al (2013), but extended to include cash rate forecasts.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2018/2018-02/results.html
1 Feb 2018
RDP
2018-02
Jonathan Hambur and Richard Finlay
We use two sets of surveys:. Surveys on cash rate expectations obtained from the RBA survey of market economists and Bloomberg; and. ... na. na. σ. cash rate. 0.0037. (0.0001). na. na. na. na.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2018/2018-02/full.html
1 Feb 2018
RDP
2018-02
Jonathan Hambur and Richard Finlay
The model uses data on the nominal and real zero-coupon yield, as well as survey measures of inflation and cash rate expectations, to construct estimates of future nominal and real ... Cash rate forecasts:. From Bloomberg (March 2000 to June 2005) and
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2018/2018-02/read-me.html
27 Feb 2018
RDP
2018-02
Jonathan Hambur and Richard Finlay
Consistent with Abrahams et al (2016) we use the first K principal components from a panel of nominal interest rates. ... We use two sets of surveys:. Surveys on cash rate expectations obtained from the RBA survey of market economists and Bloomberg; and.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2018/2018-02/data-and-estimation.html
27 Feb 2018
RDP
2018-02
Jonathan Hambur and Richard Finlay
To alleviate this problem we choose a particularly simple and transparent yield curve fitting method: interpolating the forward rate between outstanding bonds. ... We then calculate what forward rate is required to price the next bond on the yield curve
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2018/2018-02/appendix-c.html
27 Feb 2018
RDP
2018-02
Jonathan Hambur and Richard Finlay
Expectations for real interest rates, particularly a long way into the future, provide information about the economy's expected potential growth rate and the neutral real interest rate: the real rate ... In many economic models, monetary policy is deemed
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2018/2018-02/introduction.html