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3 Jan 2023
RDP
2022-09
Matthew Read
cash rate, exchange rate, inflation, modelling, monetary policy. Existing estimates of the macroeconomic effects of Australian monetary policy tend to be based on strong, potentially contentious, assumptions. ... There is robust evidence that an increase
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-09.html
3 Jan 2023
RDP
2022-09
Matthew Read
The domestic block includes the interbank overnight cash rate (CASH. t. ), ... rates) to further purge the cash rate of variation that is anticipated by financial market participants.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-09/full.html
3 Jan 2023
RDP
2022-09
Matthew Read
Although the robust credible intervals are narrower in the inflation-targeting period (compare Figures 6 and 9), this seems to largely reflect that the impact response of the cash rate is ... t. is restricted to be non-negative, so the central bank does
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-09/robustness-exercises.html
3 Jan 2023
RDP
2022-09
Matthew Read
Variable. Details. Source. Cash rate. Interbank overnight cash rate, %, quarterly average. ... Louis, FRED database (identifier GDPC1). Federal funds rate. Effective federal funds rate, %, quarterly average.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-09/appendix-b.html
3 Jan 2023
RDP
2022-09
Matthew Read
More specifically, I impose that – all else equal – the cash rate is not increased in response to lower output and/or prices. ... monetary policy shocks), since the effects are the same given an appropriately defined counterfactual path for the cash
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-09/introduction.html
3 Jan 2023
RDP
2022-09
Matthew Read
The domestic block includes the interbank overnight cash rate (CASH. t. ), ... rates) to further purge the cash rate of variation that is anticipated by financial market participants.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-09/estimates-under-different-sets-of-sign-restrictions.html
3 Jan 2023
RDP
2022-09
Matthew Read
the fact that they do not necessarily rule out extremely small (or zero) responses of the cash rate to a monetary policy shock. ... For example, restrictions on the sign of the monetary policy shock or its relative contribution to changes in the cash
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-09/conclusion.html
3 Jan 2023
RDP
2022-09
Matthew Read
This paper explores the extent to which different sign restrictions are informative about the macroeconomic effects of changes in the cash rate. ... In particular, I find strong evidence that an increase in the cash rate lowers real GDP and trimmed mean
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-09/non-technical-summary.html
3 Jan 2023
RDP
2022-09
Matthew Read
Compute the posterior probability that zero is included within the identified set for the impact response of the cash rate under (presented in Table 2) and the posterior plausibility (described in
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-09/read-me.html
3 Jan 2023
RDP
2022-09
Matthew Read
may be unbounded (i.e. infinite in length) when the identified set for the impact response of the cash rate includes zero; intuitively, if. ... Table 2: Posterior Probability that Identified Set for Impact Response of Cash Rate Includes Zero.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-09/the-effects-of-a-100-basis-point-monetary-policy-shock.html