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Risk versus Uncertainty

31 Dec 2000 RDP 2000-10
Adam Cagliarini and Alexandra Heath
Suppose we have a box of 300 balls, 100 of which are red and the rest are blue and green in undisclosed proportions. ... We have to choose between betting on whether the ball is not red or not blue.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2000/2000-10/risk-versus-uncertainty.html

Doing Less, with Less: Capital Misallocation, Investment and the Productivity Slowdown in Australia

16 Mar 2023 RDP PDF 1288KB
firm-specific factors (red line).3. 3 We focus on data up to 2017 to align with the mark-up estimates from Hambur (forthcoming).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/pdf/rdp2023-03.pdf

Monetary Policy-making in the Presence of Knightian Uncertainty

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 297KB
Suppose we have a box of 300 balls, 100 of which are red and the rest are blue andgreen in undisclosed proportions. ... Now suppose we arefaced with a different gamble. We have to choose between betting on whether theball is not red or not blue.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2000/pdf/rdp2000-10.pdf

Read me file

12 May 2023 RDP 2023-04
Jonathan Hambur and Qazi Haque
Returns_m_red – extra.csv’ (calculated excess returns). ‘Cash forecasts – m.csv’ (cash rate forecasts from various sources) – not for public release due to confidentiality.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/2023-04/read-me.html

BA-MARTIN in a Nutshell

18 Jan 2022 RDP 2022-01
Anthony Brassil, Mike Major and Peter Rickards
Notes: Solid red arrows denote unchanged MARTIN relationships, dashed red arrows denote existing MARTIN relationships that we endogenise, and black arrows denote the new relationships.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-01/ba-martin-in-a-nutshell.html
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Wages and concentration

20 Nov 2023 RDP 2023-02
Red dashes show two standard deviation range of estimates. Source: Author's calculations.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/2023-02/wages-and-concentration.html

Dynamic Estimates for Australia

10 Jul 2019 RDP 2019-05
Trent Saunders and Peter Tulip
The probability of being in a crisis (the red line in Figure 1D) represents the probabilities of a crisis starting in a given quarter, summed over the assumed duration of a ... points – and the line in Figure 1B) multiplied by its lower probability
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2019/2019-05/dynamic-estimates-for-australia.html
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Doing Less, with Less: Capital Misallocation, Investment and the Productivity Slowdown in Australia

22 Mar 2023 RDP 2023-03
Jonathan Hambur and Dan Andrews
compositional changes in firms' age, industry and size (orange line), or firm-specific factors (red line).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/2023-03/full.html
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Did Labour Market Concentration Lower Wages Growth Pre-COVID?

1 Mar 2023 RDP 2023-02
Jonathan Hambur
Red dashes show two standard deviation range of estimates. Source: Author's calculations.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/2023-02/full.html

Model Responses

8 Oct 2019 RDP 2019-01
Trent Saunders and Peter Tulip
Figure 14 shows estimated effects of the population boom of the mid-to-late 2000s, with actual outcomes shown in red.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2019/2019-01/model-responses.html
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