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Macrofinancial Stress Testing on Australian Banks

20 Sep 2022 RDP 2022-03
Nicholas Garvin, Samuel Kurian, Mike Major and David Norman
According to the Bank for International Settlements (BCBS 2010), financial crises have on average resulted in a cumulative loss of economic output (over several years) equivalent to over 60 per cent ... The Reserve Bank of Australia's Financial Stability
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-03/full.html
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Introduction

18 Jan 2022 RDP 2022-01
Anthony Brassil, Mike Major and Peter Rickards
Most loans are variable rate, and even the fixed-rate loans tend to have rates fixed for less than three years (far less than the 30-year mortgages common in the ... Forecasted amplifications would be smaller, as some combination of fiscal, monetary and
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/2022-01/introduction.html
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The Origin of the Asian Financial Turmoil

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 451KB
2.4 Equity Prices 12. 2.5 Real Impact of the Financial Problems 14. ... Legislation will] consolidate the supervisory functions [and]allow prompt close of insolvent financial institutions.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1998/pdf/rdp9805.pdf

The Intertemporal Government Budget Constraint and Tests for Bubbles

19 Nov 2012 RDP PDF 650KB
matures at the end of the year. Equation (1) can be rewritten as. ... is said to be engaging in bubble financing of it's fiscal deficit.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1988/pdf/rdp8809.pdf

The World Economy from 1979 to 1988: Results from the MSG2 Model

19 Nov 2012 RDP PDF 1398KB
This suggests that either German fiscal policy was surprisingly tight or the economy grew surprisingly fast in these years. ... Year Country Monetary Policy Fiscal Policy. 1979 u.s. tight Germany tight spending cuts Japan stable spending cuts.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/pdf/rdp8901.pdf

Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors: The Federal Reserve's Approach

1 Feb 2017 RDP 2017-01
David Reifschneider and Peter Tulip
More than three years ahead. Q4/Q4 current and next year, annual thereafter. ... Current year. Next year. Two years ahead. Three years ahead. First-quarter projections.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2017/2017-01/full.html
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How Many Jobs Did JobKeeper Keep?

2 Dec 2020 RDP PDF 1843KB
effective in reducing employment losses during the global financial crisis (GFC), albeit with some. ... Hubbard and Strain (2020) find that the PPP substantially increased the employment, financial health.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/pdf/rdp2020-07.pdf

MARTIN Gets a Bank Account: Adding a Banking Sector to the RBA’s Macroeconometric Model

12 Jan 2022 RDP PDF 1774KB
one of the key financial accelerator mechanisms – a banking sector that endogenously and. ... than three years (far less than the 30-year mortgages common in the United States).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2022/pdf/rdp2022-01.pdf

MODELLING RECENT DEVELOPMENTS IN AUSTRALIAN ASSET MARKETS: SOME PRELIMINARY ...

18 Apr 2015 RDP PDF 632KB
From the fifth year, with. income declining and the current account Improving, the. ... per year on average over the seven years. There are two mair.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1984/pdf/rdp8403.pdf

Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors: The Federal Reserve’s Approach

27 Feb 2017 RDP PDF 1444KB
years. This paper documents how these benchmarks are constructed and discusses some of their. ... meeting – observed that financial market participants might find the publication of quantitative uncertainty.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2017/pdf/rdp2017-01.pdf