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RBA Glossary definition for VAR models

VAR models – Vector Auto Regression models

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The Role of International Shocks in Australia’s Business Cycle

2 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 372KB
the Beveridge-Nelsondecomposition and a structural VAR model is identified using robust signrestrictions derived from a small open economy model. ... The small openeconomy assumption is imposed on the VAR model by restricting the impact ofdomestic
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2008/pdf/rdp2008-08.pdf

Forecasting Australian Economic Activity Using Leadership Indicators

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 338KB
Althoughnot uniform across all forecast horizons, generally the simple AR(p) model withtrend performs at least as well as the VAR models. ... At all horizons,both the single variable model and the VAR models with index perform roughlythe same.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2000/pdf/rdp2000-02.pdf

Combining Multivariate Density Forecasts Using Predictive Criteria

14 May 2008 RDP PDF 352KB
Each model is briefly presented below along withan overview of how the individual models are estimated. ... The BVAR specified with 2 lags is preferred at the one-quarter-ahead forecast horizon while 4 lags are preferred at the two-quarter-ahead
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2008/pdf/rdp2008-02.pdf

Firms’ Price-setting Behaviour: Insights from Earnings Calls

6 Nov 2023 RDP PDF 1677KB
transformer-based large language model. We show the new indices track current economic. ... other industries. This underscores the importance of continuing to develop rich multisector models.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/pdf/rdp2023-06.pdf

A Multi-sector Model of the Australian Economy

14 May 2015 RDP PDF 1314KB
The model extends previousDSGE models of the Australian economy by incorporating multiple productionsectors, including a resource sector. ... structural VAR model of Dungey andPagan (2009).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2015/pdf/rdp2015-07.pdf

Welfare-Maximizing Monetary Policy under Parameter Uncertainty

13 Dec 2007 Research Workshop PDF 312KB
Reserve Bank of Australia Workshop 2007: Monetary Policy in Open Economies
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/workshops/research/2007/edge.pdf

The Unit-effect Normalisation in Set-identified Structural Vector Autoregressions

30 May 2022 Research Workshop PDF 805KB
RBA Workshop 2022
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/workshops/research/2022/pdf/rba-workshop-2022-read.pdf

Indicators of Economic Activity: A Review

18 Apr 2007 RDP PDF 383KB
Table 7: VAR Models for Dwelling Investment. Model 1 Dwelling Approvals Investment. ... Table 11: VAR Model for Consumption Growth (four lags). Con. RT CS MVR.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1991/pdf/rdp9102.pdf

Labour Market Adjustment: Evidence on Interstate Labour Mobility

1 Dec 2009 RDP PDF 313KB
In this section we address this issue using a VAR model of the state labour markets that incorporates information on state employment, unemployment and participation rates. ... generated from the VAR model.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1998/pdf/rdp9801.pdf

Measuring Core Inflation in Australia with Disaggregate Ensembles

10 May 2010 Conferences PDF 289KB
RBA Conference Volume 2009
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2009/pdf/ravazzolo-vahey.pdf