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RBA Glossary definition for VAR models

VAR models – Vector Auto Regression models

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Financial Intermediaries

10 Mar 2006 FSR – March 2006
VaR models use the distribution of historical price changes to estimate the potential for future losses, relative to a confidence level. ... A confidence level of 99 per cent, for example, indicates a 99 per cent probability that losses will not exceed
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/fsr/2006/mar/fin-intermed.html

Box B: Lags from Activity to the Labour Market

10 May 2014 SMP – May 2014
One approach that can provide an estimate of the magnitude of these links is a VAR model, which captures the dynamic relationships between these variables. ... The results of VAR models can be interpreted using impulse responses, which trace out how
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/2014/may/box-b.html

Research Workshop – 2007

18 Dec 2007 Research Workshop
The Reserve Bank of Australia 2007 research workshop, 'Monetary Policy in Open Economies'
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/workshops/research/2007/

Financial Intermediaries

10 Mar 2005 FSR – March 2005
This is evident in the major banks' exposure to market risk through their trading operations, as measured by the average value at risk (VaR). ... Footnote. Value-at-Risk (VaR) models use the distribution of historical price changes to estimate the
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/fsr/2005/mar/fin-intermed.html

Research Workshop – 2012

14 Dec 2012 Research Workshop
The Reserve Bank of Australia 2012 research workshop, 'Monetary Policy in Open Economies'
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/workshops/research/2012/

Box E: Scenario Analysis Using the MARTIN Model

8 Nov 2019 SMP – November 2019
Statement on Monetary Policy – November 2019 Box E. Scenario Analysis Using the MARTIN Model. ... Scenario analysis involves a range of steps and requires the use of economic models.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/2019/nov/box-e-scenario-analysis-using-the-martin-model.html

In Depth – Full Employment

6 Feb 2024 SMP – February 2024
In Depth – Full Employment | Statement on Monetary Policy – February 2024
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/2024/feb/in-depth-full-employment.html

Outlook

6 Feb 2024 SMP – February 2024
Outlook | Statement on Monetary Policy – February 2024
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/2024/feb/outlook.html

Box A: Effects of Low Yields on Life Insurers and Pension Funds

20 Oct 2015 FSR – October 2015
Funding ratios below 100 per cent typically indicate underfunding and, if persistent, can signal that business models need to change to ensure that liabilities can be met when they fall due. ... Life insurance firms and defined benefit pension funds have
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/fsr/2015/oct/box-a.html

Economic Conditions

6 Feb 2024 SMP – February 2024
Economic Conditions | Statement on Monetary Policy – February 2024
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/2024/feb/economic-conditions.html