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RBA Glossary definition for VAR models

VAR models – Vector Auto Regression models

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A Factor Model Analysis of the Effects of Inflation Targeting on the Australian Economy | Conference – 2018

12 Apr 2018 Conferences
Luke Hartigan and James Morley
For identification of monetary policy shocks, we follow Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz (2005) and use estimated loadings to relate the full panel to a three-variable structural vector autoregressive (VAR) model ... The model uses factor loadings to relate
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2018/hartigan-morley.html

Meet MARTIN, the RBA's new macroeconomic model

15 Mar 2018 Bulletin – March 2018
Tom Cusbert and Elizabeth Kendall
suite of vector autoregression (VAR) models described in Gerard and Nimark (2008). ... Likewise, the VAR models are used to produce forecasts each quarter as an input into the forecasting process.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2018/mar/meet-martin-the-rbas-new-macroeconomic-model.html

Oil Price Shocks, Monetary Policy and Stagflation | Conference – 2009

17 Aug 2009 Conferences
Lutz Kilian
Their model included censored changes in nominal oil prices. Kilian and Vigfusson (2009) show that the impulse response estimates constructed from such censored vector autoregressive (VAR) models are inconsistent because the ... The lack of temporal
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2009/kilian.html

Managing Market Risk in Banks

10 Dec 1996 Bulletin – December 1996
Leading international banks have begun to model these liquidity effects in more detail and incorporate them directly into their VaR models, although this work is still at a relatively early stage. ... There is no doubt that this characteristic makes VaR
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/1996/dec/1.html

Funding Flows and Credit in Carry Trade Economies | Conference – 2013

19 Aug 2013 Conferences
Silvia Miranda Agrippino and Hélène Rey
They use a variant of the Vasicek (2002) model with a two-tier banking system. ... The VAR includes two lags of each variable, which was selected using a combination of criteria.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2013/mirandaagrippino-rey.html

What Caused the Decline in US Business Cycle Volatility? | Conference – 2005

11 Jul 2005 Conferences
Robert J Gordon
The development and analysis of the model goes beyond the previous literature in two directions. ... The small macro model is not a symmetric VAR model. Lag lengths and the role of levels versus rates of change are handled differently in each of the
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2005/gordon.html

Financial-asset Prices and Monetary Policy: Theory and Evidence | Conference – 1997

21 Jul 1997 Conferences
Frank Smets
Each of the VAR models is estimated with six lags of the endogenous variables and the shocks are identified by a long-run triangular Choleski identification scheme. ... Model 1 of Table 2 is a bivariate VAR model which only includes the real exchange
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/1997/smets.html

Box B: Lags from Activity to the Labour Market

10 May 2014 SMP – May 2014
One approach that can provide an estimate of the magnitude of these links is a VAR model, which captures the dynamic relationships between these variables. ... The results of VAR models can be interpreted using impulse responses, which trace out how
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/smp/2014/may/box-b.html

Apocalypse Then: The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis | Conference – 2011

16 Aug 2011 Conferences
Tamim Bayoumi and Trung Bui
Macroeconomic models provide an alternative approach. An alternative way of estimating growth spillovers is to use results from an empirically estimated macroeconomic model. ... It is worth stressing that this is a typical result from conventional
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2011/bayoumi-bui.html

Estimating the Relative Contributions of Supply and Demand Drivers to Inflation in Australia

15 Jun 2023 Bulletin – June 2023
Ben Beckers, Jonathan Hambur and Tom Williams
Inflation has increased substantially since mid-2021.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2023/jun/estimating-the-relative-contributions-of-supply-and-demand-drivers-to-inflation-in-australia.html