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RBA Glossary definition for VAR models

VAR models – Vector Auto Regression models

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Appendix E: What Does the Empirical VAR Capture?

31 Dec 2013 RDP 2013-10
Patricia Gómez-González and Daniel Rees
To do this, we compare impulse responses from our empirical VAR estimated using simulated data to the impulse responses to exogenous terms of trade volatility shocks generated by our model. ... Despite its linear structure, the VAR comes extremely close
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2013/2013-10/appendix-e.html
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Does Monetary Policy Affect Non-mining Business Investment in Australia? Evidence from BLADE

7 Jan 2024 RDP PDF 1715KB
macroeconomic models. For example, many models, including Woodford (2005), model investment. ... local projection model using (log) aggregate real non-mining investment (gross fixed capital.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/pdf/rdp2023-09.pdf

Incorporating judgement with DSGE models

13 Dec 2007 Research Workshop PDF 198KB
Reserve Bank of Australia Workshop 2007: Monetary Policy in Open Economies
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/workshops/research/2007/binning.pdf

A Small BVAR-DSGE Model for Forecasting the Australian Economy

10 Feb 2009 RDP PDF 599KB
VAR. The forecasting performance of themodel is competitive with benchmark models such as a Minnesota VAR and anindependently estimated DSGE model. ... 2. prior.3 While the Minnesota prior has aided the forecasting ability of VAR models,it is a purely
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2008/pdf/rdp2008-04.pdf

Meet MARTIN, the RBA's new macroeconomic model

15 Mar 2018 Bulletin – March 2018
Tom Cusbert and Elizabeth Kendall
suite of vector autoregression (VAR) models described in Gerard and Nimark (2008). ... Likewise, the VAR models are used to produce forecasts each quarter as an input into the forecasting process.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/bulletin/2018/mar/meet-martin-the-rbas-new-macroeconomic-model.html

Oil Price Shocks, Monetary Policy and Stagflation

10 May 2010 Conferences PDF 329KB
RBA Conference Volume 2009
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2009/pdf/kilian.pdf

VAR Estimation Results

1 Jun 1989 RDP 8903
Glenn Stevens and Susan Thorp
The two sets of results are discussed in turn. Each VAR model includes four lags of each variable. ... M1 leads nominal GDP in the 1978–88 period. Table 2 shows results for three-variable VARs, where the bill rate is included in every model.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8903/var-estimation-results.html
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The VAR Methodology

1 Jul 1986 RDP 8608
Robert G. Trevor and Stephen G. Donald
As is the hallmark of VARs, there are no exclusion restrictions within the B. ... 2t. itself. The model presented in equation (1) is difficult to describe in terms of the B.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1986/8608/var-methodology.html
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The Sources of Fluctuations in Residential Investment: A View from a Policy-Oriented DSGE Model of the U.S. Economy

2 Dec 2008 Research Workshop PDF 303KB
Reserve Bank of Australia Workshop 2008: Monetary Policy in Open Economies
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/workshops/research/2008/edge.pdf

Identification and Inference under Narrative Restrictions

20 Oct 2023 RDP PDF 1128KB
The initial conditions. (y1p,. ,y0) are given. The reduced-form VAR(p) representation is. ... the likelihood of the reduced-form VAR), whichdepends only on ϕϕϕ and the data.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/pdf/rdp2023-07.pdf