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IT – Information Technology

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The Relationship between Financial Indicators and Economic Activity: Some Further Evidence

1 Jun 1989 RDP 8903
Glenn Stevens and Susan Thorp
Research Discussion Papers contain the results of economic research within the Reserve Bank
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8903.html

Data

1 Jun 1989 RDP 8903
Glenn Stevens and Susan Thorp
It should be noted, of course, that this sort of specification ignores the potential long run relationships between the levels of the time series. ... Series may be “cointegrated”, that is, they may “trend together”. But it is not the purpose of
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8903/data.html

Background

1 Jun 1989 RDP 8903
Glenn Stevens and Susan Thorp
lags of income itself in order for it to be concluded that money leads income. ... It is a short-hand way of denoting statistical significance in these tests, which help establish certain stylised facts about the data, but does not necessarily imply
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8903/background.html

The External Sector

1 Jun 1989 RDP 8903
Glenn Stevens and Susan Thorp
But if the premium varies through time, then this approach, as it stands, is not entirely adequate. ... It also covers the period of fixed exchange rates (although the parities were altered in this period) until November 1976, and the crawling peg from
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8903/external-sector.html

Conclusions

1 Jun 1989 RDP 8903
Glenn Stevens and Susan Thorp
At the very least, it suggests that the structure underlying the reduced forms that make up the VARs is not well understood. ... policy effect on the trade sector through the exchange rate, though again it should be emphasised that these results are only
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8903/conclusions.html

Introduction

1 Jun 1989 RDP 8903
Glenn Stevens and Susan Thorp
While it is not our intention to dwell on these issues, Section 2 of the paper, which gives a brief (and far from exhaustive) review of the empirical literature, highlights some ... Footnote. BMS conjectured that the interest-sensitivity of M1 meant that
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8903/introduction.html

VAR Estimation Results

1 Jun 1989 RDP 8903
Glenn Stevens and Susan Thorp
There is some support for the hypothesis that activity leads the broad aggregates, though it is not as strong as where GDP is used as the activity variable. ... First, it is notable that in the three-variable models, the result occurs five times, and
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8903/var-estimation-results.html