Search: RMSEs
RBA Glossary definition for RMSEs
RMSEs – Root Mean Squared Errors
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Appendix D: Estimation Results for Full Set of Explanatory Variables
31 Jan 2023
RDP
2023-01
0.212. 0.227. 0.179. RMSE. 0.30. 0.20. 0.87. 0.68. Note: , and denote statistical significance at the 1, 5 and 10 per cent levels, respectively.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/2023-01/appendix-d.html
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Modelling Inflation in Australia
1 Jul 2010
RDP
PDF
497KB
They explain around 60 per cent of the variation in quarterly underlying inflation and have root mean squared errors (RMSE) that are generally less than 0.2 percentage points. ... a) RMSE is calculated as a weighted average of manufactures and
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2010/pdf/rdp2010-03.pdf
THE EQUATIONS OF THE RBA82 MODEL OF THE AUSTRALIpJq ...
15 Oct 2014
RDP
PDF
878KB
T1BLE 1: ME4SURES OF FIT, LINERRISED RB82 MODEL. RMSE RMSE 1959(4)-80(4) 74(l)-80(4). ... x102. For variables in logarithms, the RMSE is approximately equal to the Root Mean Squared Percentage Error of the original variables (d, Kh, x, i,.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1984/pdf/rdp8401.pdf
Inflation Volatility and Forecast Accuracy
30 Oct 2009
RDP
PDF
507KB
For both models,the root mean squared error (RMSE) fell substantially from the first to the second. ... In other words,it always predicts no change in inflation. We also present the RMSEs of a.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2009/pdf/rdp2009-06.pdf
Appendix A: Income Imputation and Results
31 Dec 2003
RDP
2003-09
2. 0.204. RMSE. $26,000. RMSE. $19,000. RMSE. $20,500. Note: , and represent significants at 1, 5 and 10 per cent levels.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2003/2003-09/appendix-a.html
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Measuring Core Inflation
1 Sep 1998
RDP
9810
The RMSE from a five-quarter moving average declines even more sharply than the MAD for very small trims. ... Seasonal adjustment reduced both the size and the asymmetry of the trim that minimised the MAD and RMSE.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1998/1998-10/measuring-core-inflation.html
Forecastability of Inflation
9 Nov 2009
RDP
2009-06
IT countries experienced a slightly better improvement in RMSE compared to non-IT countries, but, on average, forecast errors remain slightly smaller in the non-IT country sample. ... country breakdown of the forecast performance in Table 5, based on the
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2009/2009-06/for-inflation.html
Appendix A: Predictability of Capital Flows
21 Dec 2009
RDP
2009-09
The Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) serves as a measure of the fit for each model. ... Model. RMSE. i. /RMSE. Naïve. Countries for which p-value indicates significance at 5 per cent level.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2009/2009-09/appendix-a.html
Twenty-five Years of Inflation Targeting in Australia: Are There Better Alternatives for the Next Twenty-five Years? | Conference – 2018
12 Apr 2018
Conferences
For the succeeding period (2012/13–2016/17), the RMSE for the May one-year-ahead nominal GDP forecast is almost twice that of inflation for the same period, although the ... 0.87. 0.70. 2007/08–2016/17. 1.45. 0.82. 1.04. 0.92. Notes: The RMSE is
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2018/mckibbin-panton.html
An Empirical BVAR-DSGE Model of the Australian Economy
2 Feb 2015
RDP
PDF
657KB
model (as measured by their root meansquared error (RMSE)). ... the forecasting performance across models primarilyby their RMSE and their bias.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2013/pdf/rdp2013-07.pdf