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RBA Glossary definition for ECM

ECM – Error-correction ratio

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31 Dec 2007 RDP 2007-09
Lynne Cockerell and Steven Pennings
To allow for the potential non-stationarity of the series, error-correction models (ECMs) of the following form are estimated:. ... Table 2: Investment ECM – Narrow Specification. Equipment (1). 1974–2006. Building (2).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2007/2007-09/results.html

Empirical Assessment

31 Dec 2006 RDP 2006-07
Paul Hiebert
From the ECM estimations, reported in Table 1, the following observations can be made:. ... 0.96. 0.37. 0.39. Notes: ECM(1) indicates lagged error term from level equation.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2006/2006-07/empirical-assessment.html

Methodology

1 Dec 1989 RDP 8910
Tracey Horton and Jenny Wilkinson
Finally, the full error correction models (ECM) are estimated. Initially four lags of each of the differenced explanators are included, and then the insignificant explanators are dropped from the equation to
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8910/methodology.html
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MARTIN Has Its Place: A Macroeconometric Model of the Australian Economy

1 Aug 2019 RDP 2019-07
Alexander Ballantyne, Tom Cusbert, Richard Evans, Rochelle Guttmann, Jonathan Hambur, Adam Hamilton, Elizabeth Kendall, Rachael McCririck, Gabriela Nodari and Daniel Rees
In all the ECM equations, the symbol. γ. is the speed of adjustment parameter and error. ... We model dwelling investment using an ECM with consumption, real mortgage interest rates and the relative price of dwelling investment.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2019/2019-07/full.html
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Empirical Results

1 Dec 1995 RDP 9511
Steven Morling and Robert Subbaraman
The model is estimated over the period 1959/60 to 1993/94 as an unrestricted error correction model (ECM). ... Table 4: Unrestricted ECM. Dependent variable: Æ non-super. saving (/Y), sample period: 1959/60–1993/94.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1995/9511/empirical-results.html

Reduced-form Model

6 May 2018 RDP 2018-05
Jonathan Hambur and Gianni La Cava
This model can be re-parameterised as an error correction model (ECM), which allows for easy identification of the long- and short-run dynamics:. ... While this should not introduce any estimation issues, the model is no longer an ECM as gross investment
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2018/2018-05/reduced-form-model.html
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Modelling Strategy and Results

31 Dec 2005 RDP 2005-12
Gianni La Cava
The Error Correction Model (ECM) specification can be derived from this static capital demand equation. ... The first model (EC1) is the standard ECM without cash flow in the formulation.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-12/modelling-strategy-results.html
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Appendix 2: Test Procedures

1 Dec 1993 RDP 9314
Gordon de Brouwer, Irene Ng and Robert Subbaraman
The loading vectors may be interpreted analogously to the coefficient on the error-correction variable in the ECM of Engle and Granger (1987).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9314/appendix-2.html
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Estimation

31 Dec 2003 RDP 2003-07
Nikola Dvornak and Marion Kohler
All equity. Direct equity only. IV. ECM. DOLS. IV. ECM. DOLS. ... Time series estimation techniques such as an error correction model (ECM) allow us also to judge how long it takes for the long-run effects of a permanent wealth change to
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2003/2003-07/estimation.html

Modelling the Real Exchange Rate

1 May 1996 RDP 9601
David Gruen and Tro Kortian
To derive the second time-series model for Australia's real exchange rate, we begin with an unrestricted error-correction model (ECM):. ... For each sample period, we use a general-to-specific modelling approach. We test sequentially larger sets of
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1996/9601/modelling-the-real-exchange-rate.html