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RBA Glossary definition for ECM

ECM – Error-correction ratio

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31 Dec 2007 RDP 2007-09
Lynne Cockerell and Steven Pennings
To allow for the potential non-stationarity of the series, error-correction models (ECMs) of the following form are estimated:. ... Table 2: Investment ECM – Narrow Specification. Equipment (1). 1974–2006. Building (2).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2007/2007-09/results.html

A Perspective | Conference – 1993

12 Jul 1993 Conferences
Adrian Pagan
If the ECM term is included, the BWFH model actually has a much lower bias in forecasts than the random walk model, although it exhibits a slightly larger standard deviation. ... Another possibility would be to introduce a non-linear function of the
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/1993/pagan.html

Empirical Assessment

31 Dec 2006 RDP 2006-07
Paul Hiebert
From the ECM estimations, reported in Table 1, the following observations can be made:. ... 0.96. 0.37. 0.39. Notes: ECM(1) indicates lagged error term from level equation.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2006/2006-07/empirical-assessment.html

Methodology

1 Dec 1989 RDP 8910
Tracey Horton and Jenny Wilkinson
Finally, the full error correction models (ECM) are estimated. Initially four lags of each of the differenced explanators are included, and then the insignificant explanators are dropped from the equation to
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1989/8910/methodology.html
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MARTIN Has Its Place: A Macroeconometric Model of the Australian Economy

1 Aug 2019 RDP 2019-07
Alexander Ballantyne, Tom Cusbert, Richard Evans, Rochelle Guttmann, Jonathan Hambur, Adam Hamilton, Elizabeth Kendall, Rachael McCririck, Gabriela Nodari and Daniel Rees
In all the ECM equations, the symbol. γ. is the speed of adjustment parameter and error. ... We model dwelling investment using an ECM with consumption, real mortgage interest rates and the relative price of dwelling investment.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2019/2019-07/full.html
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Empirical Results

1 Dec 1995 RDP 9511
Steven Morling and Robert Subbaraman
The model is estimated over the period 1959/60 to 1993/94 as an unrestricted error correction model (ECM). ... Table 4: Unrestricted ECM. Dependent variable: Æ non-super. saving (/Y), sample period: 1959/60–1993/94.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1995/9511/empirical-results.html

Reduced-form Model

6 May 2018 RDP 2018-05
Jonathan Hambur and Gianni La Cava
This model can be re-parameterised as an error correction model (ECM), which allows for easy identification of the long- and short-run dynamics:. ... While this should not introduce any estimation issues, the model is no longer an ECM as gross investment
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2018/2018-05/reduced-form-model.html
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Modelling Strategy and Results

31 Dec 2005 RDP 2005-12
Gianni La Cava
The Error Correction Model (ECM) specification can be derived from this static capital demand equation. ... The first model (EC1) is the standard ECM without cash flow in the formulation.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-12/modelling-strategy-results.html
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Discussion on Determinants of Agricultural and Mineral Commodity Prices | Conference – 2009

17 Aug 2009 Conferences
One way of modelling this short-run dependence might be to estimate a seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) on individual error correction mechanism (ECM) relationships. ... A VECM or system ECM approach might shed some different light on what drives
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2009/frankel-rose-disc.html

Appendix 2: Test Procedures

1 Dec 1993 RDP 9314
Gordon de Brouwer, Irene Ng and Robert Subbaraman
The loading vectors may be interpreted analogously to the coefficient on the error-correction variable in the ECM of Engle and Granger (1987).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9314/appendix-2.html
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