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Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors: The Federal Reserve's Approach
28 Feb 2017
RDP
2017-01
Research Discussion Paper – RDP 2017-01 Gauging the Uncertainty of the Economic Outlook Using Historical Forecasting Errors: The Federal Reserve's Approach. ... the intervals cover about 70 percent of possible outcomes – provide a reasonable
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2017/2017-01.html
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The Model's Properties
1 Nov 1995
RDP
9510
s. and p. d. ), and by the implied dise-quilibria from those solutions (u. ... t. Equation (17)'s error correction term, which is in (log) levels, is the explanation.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1995/9510/models-properties.html
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Financial Conditions and Downside Risk to Economic Activity in Australia
17 Mar 2021
RDP
PDF
1966KB
12 This distribution is very flexible and nests other well-known distributions, including the Gaussian, Laplace, Student’s t. ... only been two significant financial crises) the FCI’s ability to contribute additional information about.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2021/pdf/rdp2021-03.pdf
The Model
9 Oct 2019
RDP
2019-10
Given the temporary assumption that banks minimise borrowing from the authority, if s = S (i.e. ... and. 0. <. S. ′. <. S. ″. <. l. Also shown is bank i's capacity to survive market illiquidity (l – b)/s.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2019/2019-10/the-model.html
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Aggregate Implications
22 Mar 2023
RDP
2023-03
P. t. 1. C. o. n. s. =. s. i. ,. t. 1. C. o. n. s. p. i. ,. t. The difference between the base index and either of the other indices shows ... 10). (. P. t. 1. Δ. t. P. t. ). =. i. (. s. i. ,. t. 1. Δ. t. s. i. ,.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/2023-03/aggregate-implications.html
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Analytical Framework
21 Jun 2023
RDP
2023-05
In our baseline specification, we consider a country to be in a low-rate environment when its 3-month interest rate is in the first quartile of the country's sample ... s. i. s. }. s. t. ,. δ. i. ). =. 0. ). , assuming. i. t. is serially uncorrelated.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2023/2023-05/analytical-framework.html
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Apocalypse Then: The Evolution of the North Atlantic Economy and the Global Crisis | Conference – 2011
16 Aug 2011
Conferences
Bayoumi T and T Bui (2010), ‘Deconstructing the International Business Cycle: Why Does a U.S. ... Bayoumi T and T Bui (2011), ‘Unforeseen Events Wait Lurking: Estimating Policy Spillovers from U.S.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2011/bayoumi-bui.html
Inflation Measurement for Central Bankers
27 Nov 2006
Conferences
PDF
221KB
RBA Conference Volume 2004
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/confs/2004/pdf/hill.pdf
Long-term Patterns in Australia's Terms of Trade
1 Apr 2005
RDP
2005-01
Research Discussion Papers contain the results of economic research within the Reserve Bank
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2005/2005-01.html
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The Determinants of Mortgage Defaults in Australia – Evidence for the Double-trigger Hypothesis
19 Jul 2020
RDP
PDF
1853KB
Note: First arrears events. Sources: Author’s calculations; CoreLogic data; RBA; Securitisation System. ... repayments and enter arrears. 2. The loan’s transition from arrears depends on:.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/2020/pdf/rdp2020-03.pdf