Researcher Profiles Martin McCarthy
Economic Research Department
Current research interests: forecasting, expectation formation
Contact: mailto:mccarthym@rba.gov.au
Martin’s research is focused on forecasting and expectation formation. He has previously worked as a consultant for the International Monetary Fund and has completed a secondment to the Australian Treasury. Martin completed a Masters and PhD in Economics at the University of Oxford.
Academic publications
- ‘Does global inflation help forecast inflation in industrialized countries?’ Journal of Applied Econometrics, 34(5) pp 850-857.
Other Research Papers
- ‘Predictable by Construction: Assessing Forecast Directional Accuracy of Temporal Aggregates’ Laurier Centre for Economic Research & Policy Analysis Working Paper, No 2024-5.
- ‘The IMF’s Forecasting and Policy Advice Formulation Processes During the Pandemic’ IMF Independent Evaluation Office Background Paper, No 23-01/04.
Policy publications
- ‘Developments in Wages Growth Across Pay-setting Methods’ RBA Bulletin, October, pp 10-20.
- ‘The OECD Global Anti-Base Erosion Proposal’ Oxford University Centre for Business Taxation Report.
- ‘The Labour Market during and after the Terms of Trade Boom’ RBA Bulletin, March, pp 1-10.