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Explaining Forward Discount Bias: Is it Anchoring?

1 Jun 1993 RDP 9307
David W.R. Gruen and Marianne C. Gizycki
Research Discussion Papers contain the results of economic research within the Reserve Bank
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9307.html

Explaining Forward Discount Bias: Is it Anchoring ?

1 Jun 1993 RDP 9307
David W. R. Gruen and Marianne C. Gizycki
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9307/

Conclusion

1 Jun 1993 RDP 9307
David W.R. Gruen and Marianne C. Gizycki
RDP 9307: Explaining Forward Discount Bias: Is it Anchoring? 6. Conclusion.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9307/conclusion.html

Appendix C: Asset Supplies not Equal to the Traders' Minimum-Variance Portfolio

1 Jun 1993 RDP 9307
David W.R. Gruen and Marianne C. Gizycki
RDP 9307: Explaining Forward Discount Bias: Is it Anchoring? Appendix C: Asset Supplies not Equal to the Traders' Minimum-Variance Portfolio. ... It is now straightforward, if tedious, to solve the model and derive equations (13) and (14).
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9307/appendix-c.html

Appendix A: Reduced Forms for the Stochastic Environment

1 Jun 1993 RDP 9307
David W.R. Gruen and Marianne C. Gizycki
RDP 9307: Explaining Forward Discount Bias: Is it Anchoring? Appendix A: Reduced Forms for the Stochastic Environment. ... It implies that (A1) may be rewritten as.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9307/appendix-a.html

Appendix E: Comparing the Traders' Performance

1 Jun 1993 RDP 9307
David W.R. Gruen and Marianne C. Gizycki
RDP 9307: Explaining Forward Discount Bias: Is it Anchoring? Appendix E: Comparing the Traders' Performance.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9307/appendix-e.html

Appendix F: Real Exchange Rate Shocks are AR(1)

1 Jun 1993 RDP 9307
David W.R. Gruen and Marianne C. Gizycki
RDP 9307: Explaining Forward Discount Bias: Is it Anchoring? Appendix F: Real Exchange Rate Shocks are AR(1). ... Thus, to explain the observed volatility of exchange rates within the framework of the model assuming (7′) rather than (7), it would be
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9307/appendix-f.html

Appendix D: Augmented Dickey-Fuller Tests on 3-Month Nominal Interest Differentials

1 Jun 1993 RDP 9307
David W.R. Gruen and Marianne C. Gizycki
RDP 9307: Explaining Forward Discount Bias: Is it Anchoring? Appendix D: Augmented Dickey-Fuller Tests on 3-Month Nominal Interest Differentials.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9307/appendix-d.html

Appendix B: The Traders' Asset – Demand Functions

1 Jun 1993 RDP 9307
David W.R. Gruen and Marianne C. Gizycki
RDP 9307: Explaining Forward Discount Bias: Is it Anchoring? Appendix B: The Traders' Asset – Demand Functions. ... Since Δp. t1. « Δs. t1. it follows that. Finally, the variance of exchange rate changes is closely approximated by. ,
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9307/appendix-b.html

Data Appendix

1 Jun 1993 RDP 9307
David W.R. Gruen and Marianne C. Gizycki
RDP 9307: Explaining Forward Discount Bias: Is it Anchoring? Data Appendix. ... Footnote. The Gensaki rate is chosen as it provided the longest available consistent weekly interest rate series.
https://www.rba.gov.au/publications/rdp/1993/9307/data-appendix.html