RDP 2011-04: Assessing Some Models of the Impact of Financial Stress Upon Business Cycles Equation

E { 1 ( Δ y t + 1 < 0 , Δ 2 y t + 2 < 0 ) | R t = 0 , R t 1 = 0 , s ˜ t } , MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaagCart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLnhiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=xfr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaGaamyramaacmaabaGaaGymamaabmaabaGaeuiLdqKaamyEamaaBaaaleaacaWG0bGaey4kaSIaaGymaaqabaGccqGH8aapcaaIWaGaaiilaiabfs5aenaaBaaaleaacaaIYaaabeaakiaadMhadaWgaaWcbaGaamiDaiabgUcaRiaaikdaaeqaaOGaeyipaWJaaGimaaGaayjkaiaawMcaaiaacYhacaWGsbWaaSbaaSqaaiaadshaaeqaaOGaeyypa0JaaGimaiaacYcacaWGsbWaaSbaaSqaaiaadshacqGHsislcaaIXaaabeaakiabg2da9iaaicdacaGGSaGabm4CayaaiaWaaSbaaSqaaiaadshaaeqaaaGccaGL7bGaayzFaaGaaiilaaaa@592C@