RDP 2003-12: The Real-Time Forecasting Performance of Phillips Curves Equation (2)

Δ 4 p t =λ f t pc +( 1λ ) f t alt + ε t , ε t N( 0, σ 2 ) MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaagCart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLnhiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=xfr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaqbaeqabeWaaaqaaiabfs5aenaaBaaaleaacaaI0aaabeaakiaadchadaWgaaWcbaGaamiDaaqabaGccqGH9aqpcqaH7oaBcaWGMbWaa0baaSqaaiaadshaaeaacaWGWbGaam4yaaaakiabgUcaRmaabmaabaGaaGymaiabgkHiTiabeU7aSbGaayjkaiaawMcaaiaadAgadaqhaaWcbaGaamiDaaqaaiaadggacaWGSbGaamiDaaaakiabgUcaRiabew7aLnaaBaaaleaacaWG0baabeaaaOqaaiaacYcaaeaacqaH1oqzdaWgaaWcbaGaamiDaaqabaGccqWI8iIoaaGaamOtamaabmaabaGaaGimaiaacYcacqaHdpWCdaahaaWcbeqaaiaaikdaaaaakiaawIcacaGLPaaaaaa@5AC8@