RDP 2003-12: The Real-Time Forecasting Performance of Phillips Curves Equation (1)

π t =λ f t pc +( 1λ ) f t alt + ε t , ε t N( 0, σ 2 ). MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaagCart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLnhiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=xfr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaqbaeqabeWaaaqaaiabec8aWnaaBaaaleaacaWG0baabeaakiabg2da9iabeU7aSjaadAgadaqhaaWcbaGaamiDaaqaaiaadchacaWGJbaaaOGaey4kaSYaaeWaaeaacaaIXaGaeyOeI0Iaeq4UdWgacaGLOaGaayzkaaGaamOzamaaDaaaleaacaWG0baabaGaamyyaiaadYgacaWG0baaaOGaey4kaSIaeqyTdu2aaSbaaSqaaiaadshaaeqaaOGaaGPaVdqaaiaacYcaaeaacqaH1oqzdaWgaaWcbaGaamiDaaqabaGccqWI8iIoieGacaWFobWaaeWaaeaacaaIWaGaaiilaiabeo8aZnaaCaaaleqabaGaaGOmaaaaaOGaayjkaiaawMcaaiaac6caaaaaaa@5B7A@