RDP 9611: A Markov-Switching Model of Inflation in Australia Equation (10)

P t+1 0 = P t 0 P( s t =0| s t1 =0 )+ P t 1 P( s t =0| s t1 =1 ) MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaGaamiuamaaDa aaleaacaWG0bGaey4kaSIaaGymaaqaaiaaicdaaaGccqGH9aqpcaWG qbWaa0baaSqaaiaadshaaeaacaaIWaaaaOGaeyyXICTaamiuamaabm aabaGaam4CamaaBaaaleaacaWG0baabeaakiabg2da9iaaicdacaGG 8bGaai4CamaaBaaaleaacaWG0bGaeyOeI0IaaGymaaqabaGccqGH9a qpcaaIWaaacaGLOaGaayzkaaGaey4kaSIaamiuamaaDaaaleaacaWG 0baabaGaaGymaaaakiabgwSixlaadcfadaqadaqaaiaadohadaWgaa WcbaGaamiDaaqabaGccqGH9aqpcaaIWaGaaiiFaiaacohadaWgaaWc baGaamiDaiabgkHiTiaaigdaaeqaaOGaeyypa0JaaGimaaGaayjkai aawMcaaaaa@5FF3@