Bulletin – March 2016 Equation

Excess retur n c,m,t =ln( S c,t+m )−ln( F c,m,t ) =ln( S c,t+m )− E t [ ln( S c,t+m ) ] + E t [ ln( S c,t+m ) ]−ln( F c,m,t ) =Risk premiu m c,m,t + e c,m,t MathType@MTEF@5@5@+= feaagKart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLn hiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr 4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9 vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=x fr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGceaqabeaacaWGfb GaamiEaiaadogacaWGLbGaam4CaiaadohacaaMc8UaamOCaiaadwga caWG0bGaamyDaiaadkhacaWGUbWaaSbaaSqaaiaadogacaGGSaGaam yBaiaacYcacaWG0baabeaakiabg2da9iGacYgacaGGUbWaaeWaaeaa caWGtbWaaSbaaSqaaiaadogacaGGSaGaamiDaiabgUcaRiaad2gaae qaaaGccaGLOaGaayzkaaGaeyOeI0IaciiBaiaac6gadaqadaqaaiaa dAeadaWgaaWcbaGaam4yaiaacYcacaWGTbGaaiilaiaadshaaeqaaa GccaGLOaGaayzkaaaabaGaeyypa0JaciiBaiaac6gadaqadaqaaiaa dofadaWgaaWcbaGaam4yaiaacYcacaWG0bGaey4kaSIaamyBaaqaba aakiaawIcacaGLPaaacqGHsislcaWGfbWaaSbaaSqaaiaadshaaeqa aOWaamWaaeaaciGGSbGaaiOBamaabmaabaGaam4uamaaBaaaleaaca WGJbGaaiilaiaadshacqGHRaWkcaWGTbaabeaaaOGaayjkaiaawMca aaGaay5waiaaw2faaaqaaiabgUcaRiaadweadaWgaaWcbaGaamiDaa qabaGcdaWadaqaaiGacYgacaGGUbWaaeWaaeaacaWGtbWaaSbaaSqa aiaadogacaGGSaGaamiDaiabgUcaRiaad2gaaeqaaaGccaGLOaGaay zkaaaacaGLBbGaayzxaaGaeyOeI0IaciiBaiaac6gadaqadaqaaiaa dAeadaWgaaWcbaGaam4yaiaacYcacaWGTbGaaiilaiaadshaaeqaaa GccaGLOaGaayzkaaaabaGaeyypa0JaamOuaiaadMgacaWGZbGaam4A aiaaykW7caWGWbGaamOCaiaadwgacaWGTbGaamyAaiaadwhacaWGTb WaaSbaaSqaaiaadogacaGGSaGaamyBaiaacYcacaWG0baabeaakiab gUcaRiaadwgadaWgaaWcbaGaam4yaiaacYcacaWGTbGaaiilaiaads haaeqaaaaaaa@A0FB@