RDP 2013-09: Terms of Trade Shocks and Incomplete Information Equation (4)

M t = ( 1 ρ m ) μ + ρ m m t 1 + ε t m ; ε t m N ( 0 , σ m 2 ) MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaagCart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLnhiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=xfr=xb9adbaqaaeGaciGaaiaabeqaamaabaabaaGcbaGaamytamaaBaaaleaacaWG0baabeaakiabg2da9maabmaabaGaaGymaiabgkHiTiabeg8aYnaaBaaaleaacaWGTbaabeaaaOGaayjkaiaawMcaaiabeY7aTjabgUcaRiabeg8aYnaaBaaaleaacaWGTbaabeaakiaad2gadaWgaaWcbaGaamiDaiabgkHiTiaaigdaaeqaaOGaey4kaSIaeqyTdu2aa0baaSqaaiaadshaaeaacaWGTbaaaOGaai4oaiabew7aLnaaDaaaleaacaWG0baabaGaamyBaaaakiablYJi6iaad6eadaqadaqaaiaaicdacaGGSaGaeq4Wdm3aa0baaSqaaiaad2gaaeaacaaIYaaaaaGccaGLOaGaayzkaaaaaa@5A27@