RDP 2012-07: Estimates of Uncertainty around the RBA's Forecasts Equation (1)

R 2 = 1 t = 1 n ( y t f t ) 2 t = 1 n ( y t μ ^ t ) 2 = 1 M S E V a r i a n c e MathType@MTEF@5@5@+=feaagCart1ev2aaatCvAUfeBSjuyZL2yd9gzLbvyNv2CaerbuLwBLnhiov2DGi1BTfMBaeXatLxBI9gBaerbd9wDYLwzYbItLDharqqtubsr4rNCHbGeaGqiVu0Je9sqqrpepC0xbbL8F4rqqrFfpeea0xe9Lq=Jc9vqaqpepm0xbba9pwe9Q8fs0=yqaqpepae9pg0FirpepeKkFr0xfr=xfr=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@630C@