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RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA

Research Discussion Papers 1991–2000

2000

RDP2000-10
Monetary Policy-making in the Presence of Knightian Uncertainty
Adam Cagliarini, Alexandra Heath

RDP2000-09
Consumption and Wealth
Alvin Tan, Graham Voss

RDP2000-08
Nominal Wage Rigidity in Australia
Jacqueline Dwyer, Kenneth Leong

RDP2000-07
The Effect of Uncertainty on Monetary Policy: How Good are the Brakes?
Guy Debelle, Adam Cagliarini

RDP2000-06
Inflation Targeting and Exchange Rate Fluctuations in Australia
Chris Ryan, Christopher Thompson

RDP2000-05
A Small Model of the Australian Macroeconomy
Meredith Beechey, Nargis Bharucha, Adam Cagliarini, David Gruen, Christopher Thompson

RDP2000-04
Keynes and Australia
Donald J Markwell

RDP2000-03
Some Structural Causes of Japan's Banking Problems
Luke Gower

RDP2000-02
Forecasting Australian Economic Activity Using Leading Indicators
Andrea Brischetto, Graham Voss

RDP2000-01
The Efficient Market Hypothesis: A Survey
Meredith Beechey, David Gruen, James Vickery

1999

RDP1999-12
Unemployment and Skills in Australia
James Vickery

RDP1999-11
A Structural Vector Autoregression Model of Monetary Policy in Australia
Andrea Brischetto, Graham Voss

RDP1999-10
The Implications of Uncertainty for Monetary Policy
Geoffrey Shuetrim, Christopher Thompson

RDP1999-09
Australian Banking Risk: The Stock Market's Assessment and the Relationship Between Capital and Asset Volatility
Marianne Gizycki, Brenton Goldsworthy

RDP1999-08
Inflation Targeting and Output Stabilisation
Guy Debelle

RDP1999-07
Job-search Methods, Neighbourhood Effects and the Youth Labour Market
Alexandra Heath

RDP1999-06
Two Depressions, One Banking Collapse
Chay Fisher, Christopher Kent

RDP1999-05
Trends in the Australian Banking System: Implications for Financial System Stability and Monetary Policy
Guy Debelle, Christopher Kent

RDP1999-04
Value at Risk: On the Stability and Forecasting of the Variance-covariance Matrix
James Engel, Marianne Gizycki

RDP1999-03
Householders' Inflation Expectations
Andrea Brischetto, Gordon de Brouwer

RDP1999-02
Reservation Wages and the Duration of Unemployment
Alexandra Heath, Troy Swann

RDP1999-01
The Phillips Curve in Australia
David Gruen, Adrian Pagan, Christopher Thompson

1998

RDP9812
An Optimising Model for Monetary Policy Analysis: Can Habit Formation Help?
Jeffrey C. Fuhrer

RDP9811
Effective Real Exchange Rates and Irrelevant Nominal Exchange-rate Regimes
Christopher Kent, Rafic Naja

RDP9810
The Distribution and Measurement of Inflation
Jonathan Kearns

RDP9809
Estimating Output Gaps
Gordon de Brouwer

RDP9808
What Moves Yields in Australia?
Frank Campbell, Eleanor Lewis

RDP9807
Inflation Targeting in a Small Open Economy
Nargis Bharucha, Christopher Kent

RDP9806
Policy Rules for Open Economies
Laurence Ball

RDP9805
The Origin of the Asian Financial Turmoil
Morris Goldstein, John Hawkins

RDP9804
Stylised Facts of the Australian Labour Market
Guy Debelle, Troy Swann

RDP9803
Forward-Looking Behaviour and Credibility: Some Evidence and Implications for Policy
Gordon de Brouwer, Luci Ellis

RDP9802
Systematic Risk Characteristics of Corporate Equity
Geoffrey Shuetrim

RDP9801
Labour Market Adjustment: Evidence on Interstate Labour Mobility
Guy Debelle, James Vickery

1997

RDP9709
Asset-price Bubbles and Monetary Policy
Christopher Kent, Philip Lowe

RDP9708
Measuring Traded Market Risk: Value-at-risk and Backtesting Techniques
Colleen Cassidy, Marianne Gizycki

RDP9707
Internationalisation and Pricing Behaviour: Some Evidence for Australia
James O'Regan, Jenny Wilkinson

RDP9706
Is the Phillips Curve a Curve? Some Evidence and Implications for Australia
Guy Debelle, James Vickery

RDP9705
The Response of the Current Account to Terms of Trade Shocks: A Panel-data Study
Christopher Kent

RDP9704
Financial Aggregates as Conditioning Information for Australian Output and Inflation
Ellis W. Tallman, Naveen Chandra

RDP9703
The Implementation of Monetary Policy in Australia
Ric Battellino, John Broadbent, Philip Lowe

RDP9702
The Lags of Monetary Policy
David Gruen, John Romalis, Naveen Chandra

RDP9701
Inflation Regimes and Inflation Expectations
Joseph E. Gagnon

1996

RDP9612
External Influences on Output: An Industry Analysis
Gordon de Brouwer, John Romalis

RDP9611
A Markov-Switching Model of Inflation in Australia
John Simon

RDP9610
Share Prices and Investment
Michael Andersen, Robert Subbaraman

RDP9609
Australian Financial Market Volatility: An Exploration of Cross-country and Cross-market Linkages
Tro Kortian, James O'Regan

RDP9608
Modelling the Australian Exchange Rate, Long Bond Yield and Inflationary Expectations
Alison Tarditi

RDP9607
Towards an Understanding of Australia's Co-movement with Foreign Business Cycles
Nicolas de Roos, Bill Russell

RDP9606
The Information Content of Financial Aggregates in Australia
Ellis W. Tallman, Naveen Chandra

RDP9605
The Evolving Structure of the Australian Financial System
Malcolm Edey, Brian Gray

RDP9604
Issues in Modelling Monetary Policy
Malcolm Edey, John Romalis

RDP9603
Australia's Retirement Income System: Implications for Saving and Capital Markets
Malcolm Edey, John Simon

RDP9602
Consumption and Liquidity Constraints in Australia and East Asia: Does Financial Integration Matter?
Gordon de Brouwer

RDP9601
Why Does the Australian Dollar Move so Closely With the Terms of Trade?
David Gruen, Tro Kortian

1995

RDP9513
Financial Market Volatility and the World-wide fall in Inflation
David Gruen

RDP9512
Consumption, Investment and International Linkages
Guy Debelle, Bruce Preston

RDP9511
Superannuation and Saving
Steven Morling, Robert Subbaraman

RDP9510
Modelling Inflation in Australia
Gordon de Brouwer, Neil R. Ericsson

RDP9509
Australian Wage and Price Inflation: 1971–1994
Lynne Cockerell, Bill Russell

RDP9508
Are Terms of Trade Rises Inflationary?
David Gruen, Jacqueline Dwyer

RDP9507
Macroeconomic Policies and Growth
Palle Andersen, David Gruen

RDP9506
The Liberalisation and Integration of Domestic Financial Markets in Western Pacific Economies
Gordon de Brouwer

RDP9505
Labour-productivity Growth and Relative Wages: 1978–1994
Philip Lowe

RDP9504
The Link Between the Cash Rate and Market Interest Rates
Philip Lowe

RDP9503
Monetary Policy Goals for Inflation in Australia
Guy Debelle, Glenn Stevens

RDP9502
Price Stickiness and Inflation
Richard De Abreu Lourenco, David Gruen

RDP9501
Modern Approaches to Asset Price Formation: A Survey of Recent Theoretical Literature
Tro Kortian

1994

RDP9411
Demand Shocks, Inflation and the Business Cycle
Richard de Abreu Lourenco, Philip Lowe

RDP9410
An Empirical Examination of the Fisher Effect in Australia
Frederic S. Mishkin, John Simon

RDP9409
Default Risk and Derivatives: An Empirical Analysis of Bilateral Netting
Marianne Gizycki, Brian Gray

RDP9408
The Supervisory Treatment of Banks' Market Risk
Stephanie Weston, Brian Gray

RDP9407
Explaining Import Price Inflation: A Recent History of Second Stage Pass-through
Jacqueline Dwyer, Ricky Lam

RDP9406
Reserve Bank Operations in the Foreign Exchange Market: Effectiveness and Profitability
Robert Andrew, John Broadbent

RDP9405
External Debt and Liabilities of Industrial Countries
Mark Rider

RDP9404
Wage Dispersion and Labour Market Institutions: A Cross Country Study
Michael Coelli, Jerome Fahrer, Holly Lindsay

RDP9403
Capital Constraints and Employment
Jerome Fahrer, John Simon

RDP9402
The Influence of Financial Factors on Corporate Investment
Karen Mills, Steven Morling, Warren Tease

RDP9401
Resource Flows to the Traded Goods Sector
Jacqueline Dwyer, Christine Groeger

1993

RDP9315
The Provision of Financial Services - Trends, Prospects and Implications
Warren Tease, Jenny Wilkinson

RDP9314
The Demand for Money in Australia: New Tests on an Old Topic
Gordon de Brouwer, Irene Ng, Robert Subbaraman

RDP9313
The Determinants of Corporate Leverage: A Panel Data Analysis
Geoffrey Shuetrim, Philip Lowe, Steve Morling

RDP9312
A Re-examination of the Determinants of Australia's Imports
Jacqueline Dwyer, Christopher Kent

RDP9311
Agency Costs, Balance Sheets and the Business Cycle
Philip Lowe, Thomas Rohling

RDP9310
Explaining the Recent Performance of Australia's Manufactured Exports
Gordon Menzies, Geoffrey Heenan

RDP9309
Alternative Concepts of the Real Exchange Rate: A Reconciliation
Jacqueline Dwyer, Philip Lowe

RDP9308
Balance Sheet Restructuring and Investment
Karen Mills, Steve Morling, Warren Tease

RDP9307
Explaining Forward Discount Bias: Is it Anchoring?
David W. R. Gruen, Marianne Gizycki

RDP9306
Inventories and the Business Cycle
Darren Flood, Philip Lowe

RDP9305
The Unemployment/Vacancy Relationship in Australia
Jerome Fahrer, Andrew Pease

RDP9304
Exchange Rate Pass-through: The Different Responses of Importers and Exporters
Jacqueline Dwyer, Christopher Kent, Andrew Pease

RDP9303
The 1893 Bank Crashes and Monetary Aggregates
David T. Merrett

RDP9302
A Decade of Australian Banking Risk: Evidence from Share Prices
Marianne Gizycki, Mark Levonian

RDP9301
The Response of Australian Stock, Foreign Exchange and Bond Markets to Foreign Asset Returns and Volatilities
Paul D. McNelis

1992

RDP9216
The Evolution of Corporate Financial Structure: 1973-1990
Philip Lowe, Geoffrey Shuetrim

RDP9215
The Evolution of Employment and Unemployment in Australia
Jerome Fahrer, Alexandra Heath

RDP9214
The Cash Market in Australia
Bob Rankin

RDP9213
The Impact of Financial Intermediaries on Resource Allocation and Economic Growth
Philip Lowe

RDP9212
Changes in the Characteristics of the Australian Business Cycle: Some Lessons for Monetary Policy from the 1980s and Early 1990s
Adrian Blundell-Wignall, Michele Bullock

RDP9211
Dividends and Taxation: A Preliminary Investigation
Tim Callen, Steven Morling, Jill Pleban

RDP9210
A Contingent Claim Analysis of Risk-based Capital Standards for Banks
Mark Levonian, Sarah Kendall

RDP9209
Financial Liberalisation and Consumption Behaviour
Adrian Blundell-Wignall, Frank Browne, Stefano Cavaglia, Alison Tarditi

RDP9208
Credit Supply and Demand and the Australian Economy
Adrian Blundell-Wignall, Marianne Gizycki

RDP9207
Indicators of Inflationary Pressure
Michael Coelli, Jerome Fahrer

RDP9206
Loan Rate Stickiness: Theory and Evidence
Philip Lowe, Thomas Rohling

RDP9205
Measuring the Cost of Capital in Australia
Nigel Dews, John Hawkins, Tracey Horton

RDP9204
The Term Structure of Interest Rates, Real Activity and Inflation
Philip Lowe

RDP9203
Real Exchange Rates and the Globalisation of Financial Markets
Adrian Blundell-Wignall, Frank Browne

RDP9202
Some Tests of Competition in the Australian Housing Loan Market
Jerome Fahrer, Thomas Rohling

RDP9201
The Impact of Real and Nominal Shocks on Australian Real Exchange Rates
Philip Lowe

1991

RDP9112
The Role of Superannuation in the Financial Sector and in Aggregate Saving: A Review of Recent Trends
Malcolm Edey, Robin Foster, Ian Macfarlane

RDP9111
Monthly Movements in the Australian Dollar and Real Short-term Interest Differentials: An Application of the Kalman Filter
Alison Tarditi, Gordon Menzies

RDP9110
Resource Convergence and Intra-industry Trade
Philip Lowe

RDP9109
Estimates of Private Sector Wealth
Tim Callen

RDP9108
Australia's Real Exchange Rate - Is it Explained by the Terms of Trade or by Real Interest Differentials?
David WR Gruen, Jenny Wilkinson

RDP9107
The Cost of Equity Capital in Australia: What Can We Learn from International Equity Returns?
Anthony J Richards

RDP9106
The Direction of Australian Investment from 1985/86 to 1988/89
Christopher Kent, Patricia Scott

RDP9105
Inflation in Australia: Causes, Inertia and Policy
Jerome Fahrer, Justin Myatt

RDP9104
The Cross-country Relationship between Interest Rates and Inflation over Three Decades
Michele Bullock, Mark Rider

RDP9103
The Failure of Uncovered Interest Parity: Is it Near-rationality in the Foreign Exchange Market?
David WR Gruen, Gordon Menzies

RDP9102
Indicators of Economic Activity: A Review
Malcolm Edey, Jill Pleban

RDP9101
The Effect of Steady Inflation on Interest Rates and the Real Exchange Rate in a World with Free Capital Flows
David WR Gruen